NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	5.6 [708]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +17.5%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	3.8 [511]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	11	72%	0.11	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Jerome James	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.10	-0.01	16	56%	0.09	5	-0.19	7	71%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	15	39%	0.00	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	11	68%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	14	63%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.01	0.05	27	61%	0.15	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.03
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.8	14.7	24.5	2.4	32.5	127.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.9%

NYK -2.4%

NJN +5.8%

NJN +26.0%

NYK -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.4	107.0	116.1	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		103.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	19.6	17.2	15.6	17.2
NJN	15.4	16.4	14.8	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	10	10	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-12	15	19.2	16.9	2.27	19.0	15.7	3.27
Quentin Richardson	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-9	9	16.9	18.0	-1.07	16.2	15.8	0.42
Jerome James	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	19.5	16.8	2.67	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Jared Jeffries	48	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	16.3	18.3	-1.96	16.7	15.5	1.16
Channing Frye	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	16.8	19.5	-2.67	16.2	15.5	0.66
Eddy Curry	63	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	3	-15	17.9	15.3	2.53	15.1	19.1	-4.06
Stephon Marbury	82	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	3	-15	17.0	21.2	-4.25	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Jamal Crawford	80	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.24	-12	3	-15	17.4	14.8	2.54	16.2	14.6	1.60

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	64	63	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.18	22	-13	35	15.2	18.7	-3.52	17.2	17.1	0.09
Bostjan Nachbar	59	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-3	15	15.8	16.8	-1.01	16.2	19.2	-2.99
Vince Carter	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-4	17	15.7	18.7	-3.00	17.0	18.7	-1.70
Mikki Moore	74	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-3	15	15.2	21.4	-6.21	17.2	17.1	0.07
Jason Kidd	75	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-4	17	16.5	13.7	2.83	17.8	13.5	4.31
Antoine Wright	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	7	-5	16.3	16.1	0.22	18.3	17.0	1.30
Josh Boone	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	20.6	15.8	4.77	16.4	17.2	-0.85
Marcus Williams	18	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	16	-23	16.6	16.0	0.57	15.8	17.6	-1.73
Eddie House	27	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	16	-23	18.1	15.2	2.91	18.5	16.6	1.93
Clifford Robinson	23	23	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	23	-37	18.7	15.2	3.52	17.1	17.2	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.67,0.83,0.86,0.97,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.9,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.1%
DAL 89, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.0%
CHA 81, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.8%