NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	3.2 [1157]		MVP	Darko Milicic (ORL): +14.9%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.2 [1058]		LVP	Brandon Roy (POR): -4.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.06	27	48%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	16	56%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	10	72%	0.15	0	0.00	9	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	16	71%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	12	71%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Augustine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.4	15.3	22.4	1.8	31.3	124.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +54.6%

POR -2.7%

ORL +2.0%

POR -4.5%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.4	105.8	119.8	104.5
season	16.7	15.9		103.1	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.2	18.0	18.8	12.8	16.8
ORL	14.5	16.3	18.2	17.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	31	32	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.28	14	-26	40	12.9	19.1	-6.15	17.7	16.1	1.60
Travis Outlaw	35	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.28	10	-22	32	14.5	18.5	-3.97	17.8	15.9	1.89
Dan Dickau	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	8.5	17.5	-8.96	18.5	16.5	1.99
Martell Webster	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-17	22	15.0	17.6	-2.63	18.7	15.8	2.93
Juan Dixon	32	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-7	2	15.4	17.7	-2.28	18.0	15.9	2.12
Joel Przybilla	19	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-2	-8	20.4	15.8	4.53	13.4	17.5	-4.13
Ime Udoka	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	1	-14	19.5	15.0	4.47	16.2	17.0	-0.79
Jamaal Magloire	38	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	3	-18	17.7	16.1	1.56	18.1	15.6	2.46
Jarrett Jack	67	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	2	-16	17.5	14.4	3.17	16.2	18.4	-2.12
Zach Randolph	68	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	6	-24	17.7	13.7	4.01	15.7	20.9	-5.19
Brandon Roy	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.02	-20	8	-28	17.5	12.9	4.61	15.9	21.4	-5.54

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	62	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-8	28	15.7	19.1	-3.37	18.5	13.0	5.50
Dwight Howard	64	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-5	22	15.9	18.9	-3.03	17.6	14.5	3.12
Keith Bogans	40	39	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	-9	30	14.5	18.5	-4.02	19.9	14.3	5.60
Hedo Turkoglu	66	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-5	22	15.7	19.8	-4.10	17.5	14.6	2.92
Carlos Arroyo	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-6	24	15.4	19.0	-3.61	18.2	14.3	3.90
Keyon Dooling	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	16	-20	19.0	14.9	4.17	14.8	18.4	-3.65
Travis Diener	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	18	-24	19.0	15.4	3.61	14.3	18.2	-3.90
James Augustine	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	18.5	16.5	1.99	9.6	17.3	-7.68
Pat Garrity	15	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	16	-20	20.9	15.8	5.11	14.3	17.5	-3.17
Bo Outlaw	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	17	-22	18.0	16.1	1.90	14.0	18.0	-3.94
JJ Redick	29	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	22	-32	18.8	15.6	3.18	13.9	18.4	-4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 81, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 75, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 80, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%