NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	8.9 [141]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +66.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	5.7 [368]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -15.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.18,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	16	71%	0.44	3	-0.24	9	89%	0.09
Al Jefferson	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	0.01	5	64%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.23	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.02	11	64%	-0.01	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.66	0.66	0.14	0.52	-0.00	17	74%	0.78	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.21,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	21	54%	0.17	2	-0.09	6	67%	0.06
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	-0.00	1	62%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	4	50%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	30.4	15.6	28.2	1.8	38.9	144.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +6.9%

BOS -5.9%

MIN +3.0%

MIN +47.4%

BOS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.4	111.5	113.5	104.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.7	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.3	14.0	15.5	15.4	14.6
MIN	16.0	15.4	13.3	17.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	36	37	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	14.9	14.3	0.58	14.2	16.3	-2.09
Sebastian Telfair	8	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	16.0	14.4	1.58	10.5	16.0	-5.52
Rajon Rondo	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.7	13.6	2.03	13.3	17.3	-3.97
Al Jefferson	42	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-5	8	14.4	14.7	-0.26	18.4	13.0	5.42
Ryan Gomes	88	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-6	10	14.5	15.5	-1.03	15.2	17.8	-2.57
Paul Pierce	61	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-3	4	14.0	15.5	-1.56	17.1	12.6	4.44
Kendrick Perkins	57	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.0	0.93	13.1	18.6	-5.56
Brian Scalabrine	72	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.48	-6	4	-10	14.4	15.1	-0.76	16.5	12.3	4.21
Delonte West	73	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.47	-9	7	-16	14.1	16.0	-1.85	16.0	13.9	2.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	36	36	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.66	16	-14	30	12.4	17.3	-4.85	14.7	14.5	0.23
Kevin Garnett	76	77	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.47	7	-5	12	16.6	11.2	5.37	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Randy Foye	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	4	-6	16.3	13.5	2.77	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Ricky Davis	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.47	-4	6	-10	15.4	15.5	-0.06	14.6	14.1	0.51
Craig Smith	25	24	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	-3	8	15.7	15.4	0.31	15.2	14.3	0.87
Mark Blount	71	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	5	-8	15.4	15.7	-0.31	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Mike James	29	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	13.5	16.3	-2.77	15.0	14.4	0.64
Trenton Hassell	46	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	7	-12	17.4	13.6	3.77	14.2	14.9	-0.73
Rashad McCants	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	14.9	15.7	-0.73	15.0	14.4	0.61
Mark Madsen	20	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	7	-12	11.2	16.6	-5.37	15.6	14.3	1.28
Justin Reed	3	2	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.26	-5	7	-12	26.7	15.1	11.58	11.5	14.6	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.53,0.17,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.73,0.54,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.42,1	91.4%
CHI 110, DEN 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.38,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.6,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.28,1	90.1%
CLE 76, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.72,1	90.0%