NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	6.6 [513]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (NOK): +17.5%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	90		Comeback	1.3 [796]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): -21.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	62%	0.20	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Craig Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	57%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	47%	0.07	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	12	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	0.06	16	53%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	7	12%	-0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	9	89%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.05	0.05	13	73%	0.17	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.05
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	40%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	5	29%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Hilton Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.10	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	14	39%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.07
Devin Brown	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	10	10%	-0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	34.0	14.0	23.0	1.8	36.0	134.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +33.5%

MIN -11.2%

NOK +18.8%

NOK +12.9%

MIN -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOK	NBA	MIN	NOK	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.4	95.4	102.3	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		101.9	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	16.8	16.4	15.9	16.0
NOK	17.0	16.7	17.1	16.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-9	11	17.7	15.7	2.02	18.5	16.6	1.86
Rashad McCants	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-8	9	15.8	16.0	-0.26	13.9	17.2	-3.35
Craig Smith	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	16.2	15.9	0.32	14.7	17.8	-3.04
Randy Foye	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-9	11	16.2	15.7	0.55	16.3	17.7	-1.44
Mike James	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	0	-7	15.6	16.2	-0.61	17.4	16.6	0.79
Marko Jaric	37	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	16.9	15.4	1.53	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Mark Blount	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.9	16.5	-0.64	17.0	16.6	0.38
Ricky Davis	71	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	15.8	17.1	-1.36	16.6	18.4	-1.81
Kevin Garnett	67	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	1	-9	15.7	16.9	-1.15	17.3	15.4	1.94
Trenton Hassell	59	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	4	-15	15.8	16.4	-0.62	18.6	13.4	5.25

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	62	62	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-6	19	16.5	17.7	-1.18	15.6	16.9	-1.27
Tyson Chandler	71	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-5	17	16.6	18.2	-1.58	15.4	18.4	-3.00
Chris Paul	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	16.7	17.3	-0.62	15.3	17.4	-2.09
David West	62	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-1	9	17.3	16.0	1.33	15.8	16.5	-0.75
Devin Brown	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	0	7	17.1	16.7	0.47	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	36	35	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	7	-7	17.1	16.7	0.36	17.3	15.2	2.13
Linton Johnson	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	8	-9	16.0	17.3	-1.33	16.5	15.8	0.75
Bobby Jackson	41	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	11	-15	16.1	17.6	-1.54	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Hilton Armstrong	17	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	18.2	16.6	1.58	18.4	15.4	3.00
Rasual Butler	24	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	13	-19	19.0	16.1	2.83	17.2	15.6	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
PHI 77, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.39,0.62,0.9,0.97,0.96,1	92.9%
NJN 92, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	92.9%