NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	87		Excitement	7.3 [376]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +22.9%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	2.6 [728]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -20.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.01	22	65%	0.34	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.09
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.00	-0.08	18	53%	0.09	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	18	43%	-0.04	4	-0.16	10	80%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.08	0.00	15	69%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.06	0.02	18	56%	0.19	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	12	52%	0.16	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	45%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	11	52%	-0.03	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	16	37%	-0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	32.2	19.7	27.1	3.3	32.5	141.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.8%

PHX +10.3%

PHX +11.8%

PHX +2.2%

SAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	13.6	15.4	90.6	106.2	104.5
season	16.2	13.8		107.5	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.0	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	20.7	14.8	16.6	13.7	16.2
PHX	13.6	11.9	14.1	15.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	8	8	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-21	26	15.1	16.3	-1.20	18.1	13.2	4.90
Tim Duncan	74	76	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-13	10	16.1	16.6	-0.47	14.4	10.9	3.48
Francisco Elson	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-13	10	15.9	16.3	-0.42	13.7	13.6	0.07
Fabricio Oberto	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-12	8	20.1	14.7	5.35	12.7	14.0	-1.28
Brent Barry	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-15	14	16.2	16.3	-0.18	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Robert Horry	25	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-8	0	17.1	15.9	1.15	13.4	13.7	-0.28
Michael Finley	47	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.06	-12	-4	-8	13.9	18.5	-4.62	13.5	13.8	-0.28
Tony Parker	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-9	2	15.5	18.5	-3.00	13.7	13.3	0.48
Beno Udrih	14	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-2	-12	20.5	15.5	5.00	10.7	14.2	-3.50
Bruce Bowen	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-1	-14	17.1	15.2	1.85	13.7	13.6	0.11
Manu Ginobili	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	2	-20	15.7	17.9	-2.21	13.5	14.0	-0.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	83	82	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.06	21	-5	26	13.7	13.3	0.40	16.5	14.7	1.77
Steve Nash	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	1	14	13.6	13.6	0.04	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Boris Diaw	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	3	10	13.6	13.5	0.12	15.2	20.9	-5.74
Leandro Barbosa	83	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-1	18	13.2	16.4	-3.19	15.7	19.1	-3.33
Amar'e Stoudemire	85	84	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	8	0	13.9	11.6	2.33	16.4	15.1	1.31
James Jones	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	9	-2	13.0	14.1	-1.05	16.6	15.9	0.65
Marcus Banks	14	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	13	-10	16.1	13.2	2.94	17.3	16.0	1.31
Raja Bell	22	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	20	-24	13.5	13.7	-0.23	19.4	15.4	4.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.86,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	92.6%
HOU 93, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.98,1,1	92.0%
MEM 82, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.93,1,1	91.7%