NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	73		Excitement	2.2 [1283]		MVP	Tony Battie (ORL): +8.6%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.0 [1224]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): -10.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lynn Greer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	55%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	0.00	0.10	16	68%	-0.02	5	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	11	24%	-0.09	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	78%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.10	13	65%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	5	-0.05	8	25%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	31.5	15.7	28.2	2.7	32.4	139.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.9%

ORL +7.1%

ORL +7.6%

ORL +0.4%

ORL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.4	79.3	106.5	104.5
season	15.2	15.9		105.3	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.4	17.9	14.9	11.9	15.7
ORL	12.9	14.8	17.1	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-20	15	9.2	16.0	-6.77	15.6	15.6	0.03
Damir Markota	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-20	15	9.2	16.0	-6.77	15.6	15.6	0.03
David Noel	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-20	15	9.2	16.0	-6.77	15.6	15.6	0.03
Lynn Greer	4	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-20	15	9.2	16.0	-6.77	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Ersan Ilyasova	28	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.34	-19	-6	-13	15.0	16.0	-1.00	14.1	16.3	-2.14
Charlie Bell	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-19	13	15.2	16.6	-1.40	15.7	15.4	0.24
Brian Skinner	38	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-13	1	15.8	15.7	0.15	14.9	16.0	-1.04
Charlie Villanueva	69	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-19	13	15.4	16.7	-1.35	15.9	14.7	1.18
Andrew Bogut	57	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-12	-1	17.0	13.7	3.30	16.2	14.5	1.75
Mo Williams	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-12	-1	16.5	12.9	3.61	15.1	17.3	-2.20
Ruben Patterson	67	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-13	1	16.7	13.0	3.69	16.2	14.1	2.07
Earl Boykins	57	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.30	-24	-1	-23	15.4	16.3	-0.99	15.8	15.3	0.47

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.27	24	1	23	15.8	15.2	0.65	15.1	16.8	-1.64
Darko Milicic	68	66	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	6	13	15.9	14.7	1.17	14.3	19.4	-5.10
Tony Battie	49	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	16	-7	15.0	16.3	-1.32	16.4	14.9	1.53
Carlos Arroyo	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	8	9	15.4	15.8	-0.41	16.1	15.3	0.76
Grant Hill	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	10	5	15.3	16.1	-0.77	15.9	15.3	0.66
Hedo Turkoglu	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	14	-3	16.2	14.6	1.68	16.1	15.1	0.99
Jameer Nelson	48	48	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.17	10	15	-5	15.5	15.7	-0.16	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Bo Outlaw	17	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	16	-7	14.3	15.9	-1.57	19.2	15.0	4.26
Dwight Howard	39	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	22	-19	16.2	15.1	1.05	17.2	14.5	2.69
JJ Redick	12	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	14.3	15.8	-1.43	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Travis Diener	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	20	-15	15.6	15.6	0.03	9.2	16.0	-6.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, DAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
IND 111, ORL 135	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
TOR 100, IND 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%