inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 80 Excitement1.7 [1304] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +11.3%
Miami Heat 110 Comeback1.1 [1216] LVPMo Williams (MIL): -9.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lynn Greer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03233%0.0010.002100%0.00
Damir Markota0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Noel0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03570%0.0010.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03760%0.022-0.02650%-0.03
Andrew Bogut-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03765%0.012-0.033100%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03525%-0.0310.00250%-0.01
Charlie Villanueva-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.020.031653%-0.042-0.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03828%-0.031-0.01250%-0.00
Brian Skinner-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Mo Williams-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.000.001344%-0.034-0.07667%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.00-0.001774%0.145-0.034100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.05772%0.041-0.01450%-0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02952%0.0200.0030%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04865%0.0110.001100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01558%0.0010.00250%0.00
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.110.000.12983%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00667%0.013-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.91.827.216.525.62.624.0124.7
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +34.0%
MIA +2.7%
MIA +4.9%
MIA +8.2%
MIA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game15.815.815.487.9120.9104.5
season15.216.0105.3102.4
opponent15.615.5104.3109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.816.016.316.415.8
MIA14.016.814.318.615.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damir Markota13140.00-0.500.500.03-1-292815.715.8-0.1517.615.52.06
Ersan Ilyasova1718-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-313216.315.70.5817.715.42.30
David Noel2021-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-292816.415.60.8018.615.03.63
Lynn Greer2324-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-292815.316.0-0.7017.915.12.84
Dan Gadzuric3939-0.14-0.360.230.07-7-231615.616.0-0.4117.414.72.69
Brian Skinner3132-0.20-0.300.110.19-13-17415.016.3-1.3016.015.70.22
Charlie Villanueva4745-0.30-0.20-0.110.16-16-14-216.415.21.2415.216.5-1.28
Ruben Patterson4039-0.32-0.18-0.140.29-21-9-1214.916.5-1.6015.516.1-0.59
Charlie Bell5050-0.33-0.17-0.160.14-16-14-216.415.11.3715.815.9-0.14
Andrew Bogut5252-0.36-0.14-0.230.31-23-7-1616.015.60.4114.717.4-2.69
Earl Boykins6261-0.38-0.12-0.260.30-23-7-1616.215.01.2114.718.0-3.30
Mo Williams6160-0.47-0.03-0.440.38-29-1-2815.416.7-1.3614.817.7-2.91

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade62620.440.060.38-0.4731-13214.319.2-4.9115.516.6-1.12
Gary Payton68680.430.070.35-0.312552015.616.4-0.7615.716.1-0.41
Michael Doleac60590.290.210.09-0.442552015.316.8-1.4915.815.9-0.13
Udonis Haslem31310.270.230.04-0.261812614.816.3-1.5415.216.1-0.91
James Posey55560.250.25-0.01-0.281812615.915.70.2615.116.9-1.82
Antoine Walker46470.230.27-0.04-0.091119-816.015.70.3116.315.40.89
Jason Kapono38370.230.27-0.04-0.01822-1415.616.0-0.3317.514.72.85
Alonzo Mourning31320.210.29-0.090.06525-2016.815.31.4915.915.80.13
Dorell Wright32330.160.34-0.19-0.11921-1218.314.53.7915.815.9-0.10
Chris Quinn18170.000.50-0.500.03-131-3217.715.42.3016.315.70.58
Earl Barron14130.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2817.615.52.0615.715.8-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 83, PHI 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.5%
LAC 88, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
PHX 79, SAS 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%