NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	9.0 [140]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +33.2%
Denver Nuggets	101		Comeback	3.5 [273]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -43.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.03,0.12	-0.02	0.08	-0.07	14	47%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.12
Jake Voskuhl	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	11	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	17	60%	0.12	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	12	72%	0.13	5	-0.18	1	0%	-0.02
Adam Morrison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	13	46%	0.06	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.46,0.34,0.33	0.33	0.24	0.11	0.02	15	74%	0.33	0	0.00	12	83%	-0.04
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	6	86%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Linas Kleiza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	12	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.31,-0.44	-0.44	-0.10	-0.33	0.01	26	45%	-0.18	5	-0.26	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	31.5	15.4	24.5	2.5	36.3	138.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +25.0%

CHA +4.4%

CHA +43.4%

DEN -19.3%

DEN -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DEN	NBA	CHA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.4	110.5	106.3	104.5
season	15.7	14.0		101.7	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	14.8	20.4	16.3	16.3
DEN	13.0	11.9	13.9	18.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	87	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-6	16	16.0	19.6	-3.58	14.2	11.9	2.31
Gerald Wallace	77	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	1	2	17.2	12.6	4.61	14.1	13.3	0.88
Matt Carroll	55	55	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.49	5	-1	6	17.3	15.1	2.15	14.2	13.7	0.51
Emeka Okafor	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	5	-6	17.1	12.4	4.69	14.4	11.4	2.98
Adam Morrison	68	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	4	-4	15.9	17.4	-1.48	13.4	15.3	-1.87
Derek Anderson	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	1	2	16.8	16.2	0.67	14.7	13.7	1.05
Jake Voskuhl	28	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.12	5	-1	6	15.7	16.6	-0.85	16.1	13.1	3.03
Walter Herrmann	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	3	-2	12.5	17.2	-4.65	11.2	14.5	-3.27
Ryan Hollins	2	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	6	-8	21.5	16.2	5.26	4.0	14.2	-10.18
Jeff McInnis	36	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	8	-12	14.6	17.4	-2.80	12.4	15.1	-2.64

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	32	32	0.10	-0.59	0.69	0.10	0	-4	4	13.4	14.3	-0.89	15.4	16.8	-1.42
Yakhouba Diawara	10	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-6	8	9.5	14.5	-4.99	17.2	16.3	0.97
Reggie Evans	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-4	4	15.3	13.2	2.09	17.0	16.0	0.95
Linas Kleiza	13	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	11.6	14.3	-2.73	10.8	17.3	-6.52
Steve Blake	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-5	6	14.4	13.3	1.07	16.4	16.2	0.20
J.R. Smith	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	2	-8	14.1	13.8	0.24	15.4	17.6	-2.18
Eduardo Najera	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-2	0	14.9	13.3	1.60	15.8	16.7	-0.95
Marcus Camby	76	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-2	0	13.7	14.8	-1.09	17.3	12.9	4.30
Carmelo Anthony	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-3	2	13.9	14.3	-0.43	17.5	11.4	6.05
Allen Iverson	86	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	14.0	13.4	0.58	16.2	17.2	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.56,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.7,0.46,0.53,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.26,0	91.6%
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	91.2%
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	91.0%