NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	88		Excitement	6.7 [497]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +29.9%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	57.1 [62]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -20.6%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.01	12	61%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	18	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	4	73%	0.07	5	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	14	34%	-0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.18	0.04	19	62%	0.33	1	-0.04	18	67%	-0.06
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.23	0.01	11	52%	0.25	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	44%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	14	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	3.4	28.5	18.4	23.6	3.4	39.5	138.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.4%

NOK -3.2%

NOK -16.4%

TOR +38.2%

NOK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	TOR	NBA	NOK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.4	95.7	94.7	104.5
season	16.0	15.2		102.8	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	17.7	14.7	16.2	15.6	16.0
TOR	14.3	15.3	17.2	12.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	26	27	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.00	11	-13	24	14.4	16.7	-2.23	16.6	14.1	2.45
Hilton Armstrong	10	9	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.08	6	-8	14	15.6	16.1	-0.47	19.2	14.3	4.89
Linton Johnson	21	22	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.02	6	-8	14	14.1	16.6	-2.50	18.3	13.8	4.52
Marc Jackson	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	12.6	16.4	-3.84	18.4	14.4	4.03
Tyson Chandler	66	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.09	-5	3	-8	16.9	13.8	3.14	14.9	14.6	0.25
Desmond Mason	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	16.1	15.9	0.14	14.5	15.6	-1.16
Bobby Jackson	55	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.52	3	-5	8	15.5	16.8	-1.37	15.2	14.2	0.93
David West	69	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.37	-10	8	-18	16.9	13.3	3.57	14.1	16.8	-2.72
Devin Brown	64	66	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.54	-10	8	-18	16.9	14.0	2.85	13.2	18.4	-5.25
Rasual Butler	72	75	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.46	-15	13	-28	15.6	17.5	-1.95	14.2	17.0	-2.85

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jorge Garbajosa	59	59	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.47	14	-12	26	13.9	16.2	-2.33	16.4	15.4	1.03
Morris Peterson	46	44	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-7	16	14.7	14.9	-0.20	15.1	16.9	-1.78
Anthony Parker	78	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.47	6	-4	10	14.1	18.1	-3.97	16.3	14.6	1.69
Jose Calderon	83	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-7	16	14.5	16.7	-2.23	16.8	11.5	5.31
Chris Bosh	92	90	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-3	8	14.8	14.7	0.14	15.9	22.5	-6.62
Rasho Nesterovic	43	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	14.8	14.8	-0.02	16.8	15.4	1.33
Fred Jones	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	4	-6	17.6	14.5	3.08	17.3	15.9	1.37
Darrick Martin	12	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	9	-16	16.7	14.5	2.23	11.5	16.8	-5.31
Joey Graham	29	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	9	-16	15.3	14.6	0.78	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Kris Humphries	25	24	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.02	-15	17	-32	17.8	13.7	4.02	16.0	16.0	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.42,1	92.1%
CHI 84, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.15,1	91.1%
CHA 100, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.36,0.21,0.43,0.47,1	90.8%