NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	3.8 [1059]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +9.5%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.4 [805]		LVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): -11.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	71%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.10	14	61%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	6	36%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	79%	0.10	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	64%	0.09	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	16	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.09	13	66%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.5	25.1	17.5	24.4	3.5	29.3	130.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.5%

TOR +10.3%

TOR +11.0%

TOR +6.7%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.4	94.4	116.7	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		101.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		104.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.3	16.3	19.9	14.0	15.9
TOR	14.5	16.5	18.0	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.13	-5	-16	11	13.1	16.6	-3.55	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Ryan Hollins	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-16	11	14.0	16.6	-2.60	16.6	16.2	0.46
Adam Morrison	57	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-14	7	14.5	18.4	-3.98	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Jeff McInnis	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	-10	-1	15.4	16.3	-0.88	15.9	16.6	-0.66
Jake Voskuhl	19	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-8	-5	16.5	15.7	0.75	14.4	16.8	-2.37
Derek Anderson	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-9	-3	19.0	14.5	4.41	17.3	15.8	1.49
Raymond Felton	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-7	-7	15.8	16.2	-0.42	16.9	13.7	3.28
Matt Carroll	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-5	-11	16.3	14.5	1.79	16.2	16.6	-0.46
Gerald Wallace	64	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-11	1	16.6	14.0	2.68	16.6	15.4	1.25
Emeka Okafor	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-9	-3	16.4	14.9	1.53	16.5	15.9	0.65

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	74	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.27	31	-10	41	16.3	16.2	0.05	16.8	11.9	4.95
Anthony Parker	59	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	4	13	16.4	16.1	0.34	16.2	15.2	1.02
Rasho Nesterovic	50	49	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	3	15	16.9	15.6	1.29	16.8	14.8	1.98
Chris Bosh	40	42	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-4	29	16.6	16.1	0.51	18.5	13.5	5.04
Jorge Garbajosa	48	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	9	3	16.9	15.6	1.26	16.9	14.8	2.10
Fred Jones	14	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	20	-19	16.6	16.2	0.33	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Joey Graham	43	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.17	9	12	-3	15.5	17.0	-1.58	14.7	17.1	-2.43
Andrea Bargnani	50	49	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.21	8	13	-5	15.3	17.5	-2.27	14.7	17.4	-2.75
Kris Humphries	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	17.6	16.1	1.41	10.1	16.5	-6.33
Pape Sow	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	18.1	16.1	2.01	9.0	16.4	-7.39
Morris Peterson	40	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.18	2	19	-17	15.8	16.6	-0.79	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Darrick Martin	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.15	-10	31	-41	16.2	16.3	-0.05	11.9	16.8	-4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	95.4%
GSW 93, MIL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%