NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	8.8 [156]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +50.8%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	1.9 [721]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -12.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.39	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.23	0.13	-0.03	25	70%	0.42	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.01	12	56%	0.19	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.04
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	6	73%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.12	-0.16	0.04	0.00	13	30%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.33,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	16	27%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.51	0.51	0.07	0.44	0.00	22	54%	0.53	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.22	0.01	19	54%	0.30	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	9	72%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.07	11	45%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	57%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	25.8	14.8	25.6	2.4	37.6	131.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.3%

WAS +3.0%

NYK -3.6%

WAS +17.9%

WAS +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.4	103.2	104.2	104.5
season	15.7	14.8		103.7	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.5	13.8	18.9	15.2	15.1
WAS	13.7	14.4	16.3	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	77	80	0.63	-1.13	1.76	0.25	13	-14	27	15.2	14.7	0.55	15.8	12.1	3.64
Nate Robinson	19	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-3	5	12.8	15.7	-2.91	15.7	15.1	0.60
Renaldo Balkman	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	12.3	15.4	-3.15	15.4	15.2	0.22
Channing Frye	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	3	-7	16.0	14.5	1.48	15.0	15.4	-0.38
David Lee	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	5	-11	14.6	16.5	-1.91	14.8	16.1	-1.35
Quentin Richardson	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	15.4	13.4	2.01	15.3	14.6	0.65
Stephon Marbury	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.47	-3	2	-5	15.7	12.6	3.08	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Jamal Crawford	62	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.52	-2	1	-3	14.5	16.3	-1.87	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Jared Jeffries	40	39	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.73	-4	3	-7	16.2	14.3	1.83	15.1	15.2	-0.12

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	58	58	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.41	11	-10	21	14.5	16.2	-1.71	15.5	14.5	1.08
Antawn Jamison	75	74	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-4	9	15.1	15.6	-0.51	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Gilbert Arenas	85	86	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-3	7	15.1	16.0	-0.89	15.6	10.3	5.28
Caron Butler	95	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.2	0.0	15.20	15.1	0.0	15.12
Brendan Haywood	51	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-5	11	14.1	16.5	-2.34	15.3	14.9	0.47
Calvin Booth	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	0	1	17.2	15.1	2.11	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Antonio Daniels	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	1	-1	15.0	15.3	-0.25	12.9	15.7	-2.74
Etan Thomas	38	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	9	-17	16.2	14.5	1.68	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Jarvis Hayes	31	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	15.9	14.8	1.09	14.3	15.5	-1.27
Donell Taylor	17	17	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	11	-21	17.7	14.7	3.05	16.2	14.9	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.85,1	92.0%
IND 100, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.78,0.84,1	91.8%
DET 84, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.74,1	91.8%