NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	8.2 [247]		MVP	Chris Wilcox (SEA): +19.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	3.5 [285]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -16.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	18	60%	0.15	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	21	53%	0.17	4	-0.13	15	87%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	38%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.16	0.00	10	62%	0.24	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.08
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	7	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.07	0.01	9	58%	0.18	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	21	44%	-0.05	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	32.0	13.8	26.2	1.7	38.1	141.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +12.6%

SEA +8.1%

SEA +29.2%

CLE -1.0%

SEA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SEA	NBA	CLE	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.4	101.1	106.3	104.5
season	16.0	15.4		103.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		108.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	15.0	15.6	15.5	15.4
SEA	12.3	16.3	17.1	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	28	29	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-12	19	14.9	15.6	-0.69	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Damon Jones	47	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-9	13	14.5	16.2	-1.68	13.8	16.1	-2.27
Sasha Pavlovic	17	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-1	-3	14.0	15.7	-1.68	12.8	15.4	-2.60
Drew Gooden	56	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	3	-11	15.6	15.1	0.51	15.9	13.7	2.21
Eric Snow	63	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	16.3	13.6	2.69	16.3	12.4	3.93
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	16.4	12.4	3.99	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Anderson Varejao	36	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	13.4	16.6	-3.20	15.0	14.9	0.15
Larry Hughes	71	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	2	-9	15.8	14.1	1.68	15.1	14.5	0.57
LeBron James	87	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	2	-9	15.1	18.4	-3.27	14.9	15.5	-0.61

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	84	85	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-5	15	15.4	11.2	4.25	15.8	12.2	3.55
Mickael Gelabale	49	49	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	14.4	15.5	-1.09	16.0	14.8	1.20
Chris Wilcox	69	70	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	15.0	14.7	0.39	15.4	15.2	0.24
Nick Collison	59	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	0	5	14.4	15.9	-1.49	15.8	14.6	1.19
Luke Ridnour	50	48	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	7	-9	14.2	15.8	-1.60	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Andre Brown	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	0	5	16.5	14.3	2.27	15.4	15.4	0.07
Earl Watson	56	57	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	3	-1	14.9	15.0	-0.15	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Damien Wilkins	46	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	15.5	14.4	1.09	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Johan Petro	34	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	14.4	15.2	-0.86	14.4	15.9	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.27,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.22,0.38,0.55,0.86,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	91.1%
SAS 84, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.28,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	90.8%
ORL 103, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	90.5%