NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	7.4 [371]		MVP	Allan Ray (BOS): +28.5%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.2 [937]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (BOS): -22.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Ray	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.16	0.00	9	85%	0.42	3	-0.14	8	87%	0.05
Sebastian Telfair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,0,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	18	55%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.09	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	11	35%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	15	70%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	3	75%	0.16	0	0.00	10	100%	0.10
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	16	56%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	12	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	12	60%	0.12	8	-0.27	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.2	2.4	31.5	15.7	26.0	2.6	34.5	145.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.0%

ATL +2.6%

ATL +12.9%

ATL +12.7%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.4	101.1	108.7	104.5
season	15.5	16.1		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	14.6	17.2	15.1	15.4
ATL	15.0	13.1	16.2	17.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	21	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-3	2	13.5	15.9	-2.42	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Michael Olowokandi	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	15.5	15.4	0.06	13.9	15.6	-1.67
Kendrick Perkins	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	2	-8	16.2	15.2	1.01	16.8	14.9	1.84
Gerald Green	61	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-6	8	15.1	15.9	-0.73	16.5	13.5	2.97
Sebastian Telfair	63	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	1	-6	15.7	14.8	0.85	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Allan Ray	57	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.2	15.8	-0.59	14.7	16.4	-1.78
Al Jefferson	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-4	4	15.8	13.9	1.81	15.7	13.5	2.27
Rajon Rondo	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-2	0	15.0	16.6	-1.52	14.9	17.0	-2.05
Ryan Gomes	88	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	15.8	10.7	5.07	15.4	14.3	1.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	69	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-11	26	14.5	18.0	-3.45	15.7	14.4	1.26
Zaza Pachulia	34	38	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-7	18	14.5	15.9	-1.38	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Marvin Williams	72	73	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.48	3	1	2	16.0	13.1	2.84	15.6	14.8	0.77
Josh Childress	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	5	-6	14.9	17.7	-2.74	14.9	17.5	-2.58
Joe Johnson	83	84	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	7	-10	15.8	11.0	4.84	15.7	13.1	2.62
Royal Ivey	15	17	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	-1	6	17.7	14.9	2.74	17.5	14.9	2.58
Lorenzen Wright	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	2	0	15.0	15.6	-0.58	16.0	15.0	1.01
Shelden Williams	37	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	10	-16	16.1	14.9	1.28	14.5	16.0	-1.56
Salim Stoudamire	35	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	10	-16	15.1	15.5	-0.46	14.7	15.8	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.68,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.82,1	92.3%
MIA 91, NOH 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.67,0.69,1	91.8%
NJN 84, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.83,1	91.7%