NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	98		Excitement	6.1 [609]		MVP	Mark Blount (MIN): +19.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	3.9 [441]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -11.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	4	110%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddie House	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	14	52%	0.09	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.03	19	59%	0.09	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.08	0.06	19	57%	0.00	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.11	-0.02	10	71%	0.24	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.06	0.04	4	100%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	19	65%	0.30	6	-0.19	11	100%	0.07
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	67%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Mike James	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	12	57%	0.08	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bracey Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	28.1	15.8	25.0	2.4	39.5	139.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.9%

MIN +22.4%

NJN -12.9%

NJN -3.5%

MIN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.4	102.1	117.2	104.5
season	15.4	15.4		103.1	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.5	15.8	20.2	13.4	15.8
MIN	15.5	14.8	14.1	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	11	11	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-15	19	14.0	16.0	-2.01	15.7	14.5	1.19
Jason Collins	41	39	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-15	19	15.9	15.7	0.17	15.6	14.0	1.66
Antoine Wright	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-8	5	14.6	16.0	-1.35	15.1	14.6	0.47
Vince Carter	62	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.6	14.3	2.30	14.5	15.1	-0.63
Mikki Moore	76	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	15.2	17.8	-2.61	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	82	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	15.5	17.6	-2.10	14.8	13.9	0.88
Jason Kidd	86	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-8	5	15.7	16.5	-0.80	14.8	13.8	0.97
Clifford Robinson	29	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	1	-13	18.1	14.8	3.33	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Bostjan Nachbar	28	28	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	2	-15	17.4	15.1	2.28	14.8	14.6	0.21
Eddie House	52	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.09	-19	8	-27	14.7	17.1	-2.46	13.8	15.7	-1.89

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	61	63	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.20	20	-9	29	14.4	15.2	-0.78	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Kevin Garnett	83	87	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-4	19	14.6	15.0	-0.36	16.2	12.0	4.17
Bracey Wright	31	32	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-1	13	14.3	14.9	-0.53	15.2	16.1	-0.94
Mark Blount	67	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	3	5	14.9	14.0	0.94	14.6	19.0	-4.47
Trenton Hassell	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	6	-1	14.7	14.3	0.46	16.1	14.1	2.06
Justin Reed	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	9	-7	14.6	14.7	-0.09	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Mark Madsen	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	9	-7	13.1	14.9	-1.80	24.6	14.6	10.00
Craig Smith	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	10	-9	14.7	14.7	-0.01	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Ricky Davis	74	75	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	12	-13	14.6	15.0	-0.41	15.7	16.0	-0.22
Mike James	34	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.01	-9	20	-29	15.6	14.1	1.48	15.4	16.0	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.65,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1	92.8%
BOS 95, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.96,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%
DAL 87, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.4%