NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	118		Excitement	5.0 [828]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +13.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	128		Comeback	2.1 [378]		LVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): -13.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	15	64%	0.19	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.00	0.12	6	100%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.18	0.00	0.15	7	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	13	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	8	22%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	13	39%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	15	61%	0.17	3	-0.04	11	64%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.02	0.06	9	76%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	6	67%	0.08	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	19	58%	0.13	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	48%	0.04	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	1.6	33.5	15.6	22.3	2.5	35.5	141.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +35.8%

MEM +4.5%

MEM +6.1%

LAL -0.5%

MEM +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	11.7	15.4	104.4	115.3	104.5
season	15.3	15.1		106.3	105.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		110.1	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	13.1	15.4	13.0	14.0
MEM	11.4	10.9	9.7	15.3	11.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-12	14	13.7	14.2	-0.43	12.5	11.1	1.44
Maurice Evans	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-9	8	14.1	13.9	0.23	12.4	11.2	1.18
Ronny Turiaf	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	5	-20	15.6	13.4	2.14	9.9	12.4	-2.42
Sasha Vujacic	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	14.3	13.7	0.59	12.3	11.2	1.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	40	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	0	-10	14.7	13.6	1.06	10.0	12.7	-2.66
Brian Cook	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	13.8	14.2	-0.34	11.4	12.0	-0.64
Smush Parker	58	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	13.8	14.2	-0.41	11.5	11.9	-0.45
Luke Walton	79	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-9	8	13.6	14.9	-1.36	12.3	10.4	1.82
Andrew Bynum	81	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-15	20	13.5	15.2	-1.76	12.4	9.9	2.48
Kobe Bryant	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.00	-16	6	-22	14.1	13.8	0.29	11.0	12.9	-1.87

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	94	96	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.17	14	-4	18	11.4	13.2	-1.74	14.2	12.9	1.31
Pau Gasol	83	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-3	16	12.2	10.3	1.90	14.1	13.8	0.27
Rudy Gay	51	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-5	20	11.7	11.7	-0.07	14.5	13.5	0.98
Damon Stoudamire	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	1	8	12.1	11.2	0.87	13.6	14.6	-1.04
Alexander Johnson	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	5	0	12.8	10.7	2.05	14.1	13.9	0.23
Chucky Atkins	46	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	9	-8	11.2	12.1	-0.87	14.6	13.6	1.04
Stromile Swift	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	11	-12	10.5	12.5	-2.02	14.0	14.0	-0.06
Hakim Warrick	38	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	5	0	9.9	12.7	-2.79	14.3	13.8	0.56
Dahntay Jones	41	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.15	6	4	2	11.4	11.9	-0.50	13.9	14.0	-0.10
Tarence Kinsey	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.31	-11	21	-32	13.9	10.9	3.02	11.9	14.7	-2.82
Eddie Jones	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	16	-22	12.0	11.7	0.32	13.2	14.1	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIL 85, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,0.99,1	93.9%
GSW 90, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%