NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	5.1 [810]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +22.2%
Denver Nuggets	84		Comeback	1.0 [924]		LVP	Reggie Evans (DEN): -9.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.10	0.02	12	86%	0.28	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	-0.01	-0.03	22	64%	0.15	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	8	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Jarron Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	13	36%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.03	0.04	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	2	83%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Hodge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	9	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	0.06	19	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	19	44%	0.01	5	-0.10	12	92%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	1	33%	-0.03	4	-0.06	4	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	31.4	15.5	26.5	2.5	29.4	130.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.3%

UTA +17.6%

UTA +14.1%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.0	13.7	15.4	100.0	85.7	104.5
season	15.9	14.0		107.4	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	14.7	18.0	16.5	16.0
DEN	14.2	13.0	12.0	15.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	86	87	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-5	22	15.7	18.7	-2.97	13.6	14.2	-0.57
Andrei Kirilenko	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	15.9	16.5	-0.62	13.7	13.5	0.17
Carlos Boozer	72	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	2	8	15.9	16.4	-0.50	13.5	14.0	-0.45
Paul Millsap	43	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	0	12	16.5	15.6	0.89	14.5	13.0	1.48
Matt Harpring	38	40	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	3	6	15.8	16.2	-0.46	14.4	13.2	1.27
Gordan Giricek	35	36	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	3	6	14.9	16.7	-1.77	13.8	13.6	0.25
Mehmet Okur	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	12	-12	15.5	16.8	-1.34	13.3	14.2	-0.90
Jarron Collins	21	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	10	-8	17.0	15.8	1.17	13.4	13.7	-0.31
Ronnie Brewer	3	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	13	-14	13.3	16.1	-2.80	8.5	13.8	-5.28
Derek Fisher	44	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	19	-26	17.4	14.9	2.44	13.4	13.9	-0.57
Dee Brown	7	7	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	17	-22	21.3	15.6	5.66	12.4	13.8	-1.34

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Hodge	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-13	14	13.6	13.7	-0.08	17.3	15.9	1.40
Eduardo Najera	61	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-17	22	13.0	14.8	-1.83	16.4	15.4	1.09
Nene	40	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-2	-8	14.5	13.1	1.40	14.6	17.0	-2.33
Jamal Sampson	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	12.7	14.1	-1.35	18.6	14.9	3.77
Yakhouba Diawara	46	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	13.7	13.6	0.12	16.7	15.5	1.14
Linas Kleiza	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	13.6	13.9	-0.29	15.0	19.0	-3.95
Earl Boykins	85	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-5	-2	13.7	13.4	0.33	16.1	15.3	0.87
Reggie Evans	57	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	3	-18	14.4	12.7	1.74	15.2	17.1	-1.96
Allen Iverson	90	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.10	-14	2	-16	13.6	14.4	-0.76	16.3	13.2	3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.21,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 123, CLE 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
MIN 100, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	92.3%
PHI 108, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.32,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.28,0.03,0,0	92.3%