NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	7.2 [412]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +15.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	2.7 [635]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -16.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	11	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Adams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	17	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	13	55%	0.09	5	-0.23	7	86%	0.05
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	10	48%	0.08	4	-0.25	3	33%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	9	73%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.08	0.04	12	70%	0.20	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	4	89%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	19	48%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.07
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.03	-0.07	21	45%	0.21	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	7	37%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	28.1	14.8	32.8	1.8	34.7	140.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.8%

NJN -19.5%

CLE +14.5%

CLE +27.0%

CLE +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	16.8	15.4	100.0	106.7	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		103.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.6	15.4	13.3	14.4	15.1
CLE	18.4	15.9	17.4	15.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	27	26	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.10	8	-13	21	15.3	15.0	0.31	16.6	16.8	-0.25
Hassan Adams	25	26	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-7	9	12.9	15.9	-3.03	16.4	16.9	-0.52
Mikki Moore	68	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-11	17	15.5	13.8	1.67	17.3	15.0	2.38
Eddie House	13	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	5	-15	15.0	15.1	-0.09	12.2	17.4	-5.21
Richard Jefferson	78	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	15.6	11.7	3.95	17.4	12.3	5.10
Clifford Robinson	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	2	-9	13.6	16.9	-3.32	16.4	17.1	-0.71
Bostjan Nachbar	50	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	7	-19	15.9	14.0	1.92	16.4	17.2	-0.77
Vince Carter	74	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.57	-5	0	-5	15.2	14.6	0.60	16.9	16.3	0.57
Jason Kidd	70	70	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.49	-9	4	-13	15.1	15.0	0.04	16.7	16.9	-0.19

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	62	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-2	9	16.8	16.6	0.27	15.4	14.4	0.97
LeBron James	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	16.7	16.9	-0.13	15.1	14.6	0.50
Larry Hughes	83	83	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.39	1	4	-3	17.1	12.9	4.23	14.8	17.5	-2.66
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	1	3	17.2	16.1	1.12	15.7	14.2	1.50
Drew Gooden	57	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	4	-3	17.1	16.2	0.95	15.3	14.7	0.55
Anderson Varejao	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	4	-3	16.4	17.0	-0.60	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Donyell Marshall	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	1	3	15.7	17.3	-1.57	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Daniel Gibson	7	8	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	12.9	17.1	-4.23	17.5	14.8	2.66
Damon Jones	36	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	6	-7	16.6	16.8	-0.19	14.5	15.5	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	91.3%
NJN 92, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	91.0%
GSW 91, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	90.9%