NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	11.9 [21]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): +27.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	3.1 [551]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): -30.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.16	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16	0.02	0.14	-0.00	6	85%	0.27	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.12	-0.13	-0.00	18	60%	0.21	1	-0.22	6	100%	0.05
Rodney Carney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.33,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	0.00	-0.18	0.01	14	56%	-0.03	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.11
Andre Iguodala	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.23	-0.04	-0.16	0.03	23	42%	-0.19	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.04
Joe Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	4	0%	-0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	-0.00	13	79%	0.31	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.24,-0.3,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,0.21	0.21	-0.09	0.30	-0.01	23	47%	0.39	6	-0.18	7	71%	-0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.09
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	6	60%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Craig Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.03	-0.25	0.00	13	42%	-0.09	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3	-0.30	-0.06	-0.23	0.01	18	44%	-0.16	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	26.5	17.5	31.2	1.8	34.2	1.5	13.5	151.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +59.9%

PHI -17.5%

MIN +28.9%

PHI -25.3%

MIN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.4	102.0	105.1	104.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.7	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.5	16.7	14.2	16.6	14.9	15.4
MIN	17.6	14.7	15.8	17.7	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	48	49	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-2	2	16.0	14.9	1.11	16.6	16.5	0.13
Kyle Korver	68	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-8	14	15.9	14.3	1.60	16.7	16.2	0.56
Rodney Carney	28	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.21	16.4	16.6	-0.26
Steven Hunter	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-2	2	16.5	14.8	1.72	17.0	16.3	0.73
Andre Iguodala	79	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	14.8	17.5	-2.63	17.3	13.6	3.65
Samuel Dalembert	67	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	0	-2	15.2	15.9	-0.71	16.5	16.8	-0.33
Kevin Ollie	17	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-1	0	16.1	15.3	0.86	15.7	16.7	-1.05
Alan Henderson	48	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	0	-2	14.3	16.4	-2.09	16.6	16.5	0.04
Andre Miller	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	15.1	17.1	-2.05	16.7	15.7	1.05
Willie Green	24	24	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	6	-14	16.6	15.0	1.56	13.3	17.6	-4.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	85	85	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	16.5	16.9	-0.42	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Kevin Garnett	86	86	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-2	6	16.2	18.7	-2.45	15.0	18.0	-3.02
Craig Smith	27	28	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-6	14	15.5	17.0	-1.44	16.4	15.0	1.38
Marko Jaric	29	29	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	0	2	15.1	17.2	-2.12	15.7	15.3	0.46
Randy Foye	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.45	-7	9	-16	16.6	16.5	0.09	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Mike James	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-7	16	16.3	16.7	-0.40	16.0	14.9	1.05
Ricky Davis	83	85	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	6	-10	17.2	13.1	4.18	15.7	13.9	1.80
Mark Blount	77	78	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.33	-9	11	-20	17.5	13.3	4.18	15.6	14.7	0.86
Mark Madsen	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	1	0	14.6	16.7	-2.11	14.6	15.5	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.74,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.53,0.79,0.83,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.87,1	90.2%
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	89.8%
MEM 123, NOH 125	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.54,0.64,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	89.3%