NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	5.2 [792]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +21.3%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	2.8 [624]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -12.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09	0.06	-0.01	-0.03	26	60%	0.16	5	-0.08	3	0%	-0.04
Sasha Pavlovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.00	0.00	0.07	14	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	9	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.06	0.07	19	80%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.03	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	18	51%	0.04	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.6	31.0	16.6	21.5	2.6	35.2	135.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.6%

CHI +2.0%

CHI +9.7%

CHI +21.5%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.4	103.2	112.0	104.5
season	16.0	14.5		103.2	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	14.8	17.7	15.8	15.7
CHI	15.4	16.6	15.0	14.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	55	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-7	7	16.4	14.7	1.65	17.2	12.9	4.30
Drew Gooden	57	57	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-18	29	15.1	16.6	-1.53	16.3	14.0	2.36
Sasha Pavlovic	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.14	-6	-1	-5	16.3	15.6	0.76	16.5	15.2	1.26
Larry Hughes	75	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-10	13	15.6	16.1	-0.51	15.8	14.1	1.65
Eric Snow	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-4	1	17.2	14.7	2.43	16.4	14.8	1.53
LeBron James	79	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.48	6	-13	19	15.4	17.5	-2.12	15.5	15.3	0.15
Daniel Gibson	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	14.8	16.6	-1.84	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Anderson Varejao	22	23	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	3	-13	16.0	15.6	0.39	12.7	16.3	-3.59
Damon Jones	26	26	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.06	-16	9	-25	16.2	15.5	0.63	14.3	15.9	-1.52
Donyell Marshall	51	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	8	-23	15.5	15.9	-0.42	13.7	17.4	-3.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	70	69	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-9	25	14.3	19.1	-4.86	16.0	15.0	1.00
Malik Allen	28	27	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.12	21	-14	35	14.1	16.0	-1.91	18.5	14.5	3.97
P.J. Brown	61	62	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.04	21	-14	35	14.8	16.6	-1.78	15.9	15.2	0.71
Chris Duhon	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	15.4	15.4	0.09	15.9	14.4	1.50
Luol Deng	83	81	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	15.2	17.6	-2.35	15.8	14.8	0.99
Tyrus Thomas	9	12	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	7	-7	17.6	15.2	2.35	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Michael Sweetney	19	22	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	14	-21	15.6	15.4	0.18	14.4	16.1	-1.69
Adrian Griffin	14	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	11	-15	15.9	15.4	0.50	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Andres Nocioni	31	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.22	-14	21	-35	16.6	14.8	1.78	15.2	16.0	-0.73
Ben Wallace	43	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	14	-21	16.9	14.2	2.68	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Thabo Sefolosha	24	24	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	17	-27	17.4	14.7	2.68	14.3	16.2	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.59,0.67,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.97,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.84,0.96,1,1	94.5%
WAS 86, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
HOU 77, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%