NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	94		Excitement	7.5 [345]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): +24.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	102		Comeback	2.2 [759]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -32.9%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	2	86%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Desmond Mason	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.05	0.05	14	64%	0.16	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.04
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	21	51%	0.10	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.09	0.02	9	67%	0.04	2	-0.11	3	0%	-0.10
Rasual Butler	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.33,-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	15	22%	-0.29	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	0.00	17	75%	0.34	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	16	63%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	4	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	0.03	15	55%	0.11	4	-0.13	8	50%	-0.06
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	22.6	15.6	24.2	1.8	32.3	126.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.8%

SEA +15.3%

NOK -31.6%

SEA +12.1%

SEA +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	SEA	NBA	NOK	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.4	104.4	112.1	104.5
season	16.0	15.4		102.8	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.3	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.1	18.7	16.1	17.0	16.4
SEA	17.2	15.6	13.9	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	21	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-11	14	14.2	17.1	-2.88	17.1	14.9	2.23
Marc Jackson	39	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.25	-8	0	-8	18.0	15.2	2.82	14.4	16.2	-1.78
Jannero Pargo	85	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-7	6	16.3	17.4	-1.06	15.7	9.7	5.94
Rasual Butler	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	16.3	18.0	-1.69	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Desmond Mason	81	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	0	-8	16.0	19.9	-3.88	15.6	13.7	1.84
Tyson Chandler	65	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.48	-3	-5	2	16.0	17.3	-1.27	16.0	14.1	1.84
Devin Brown	74	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.16	-18	10	-28	17.1	13.2	3.91	14.6	18.9	-4.25

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	78	77	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.32	17	-9	26	15.4	15.8	-0.49	16.4	16.6	-0.25
Ray Allen	82	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	1	6	15.8	12.4	3.31	15.9	20.3	-4.39
Nick Collison	28	28	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-1	10	14.9	15.7	-0.83	17.8	15.8	2.01
Chris Wilcox	78	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	15.4	15.8	-0.40	16.4	16.4	0.02
Mickael Gelabale	37	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	14.8	15.9	-1.09	17.6	15.6	2.03
Danny Fortson	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	1	6	16.0	15.2	0.84	16.9	16.2	0.66
Earl Watson	58	59	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	16	-24	15.3	15.7	-0.37	16.7	15.8	0.91
Johan Petro	31	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	15	-22	15.6	15.3	0.28	14.5	17.4	-2.82
Damien Wilkins	34	33	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.15	-6	14	-20	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.9	16.7	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.79,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.89,1,1,1	92.7%
NOH 100, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.64,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	92.6%
CHI 88, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.0%