NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	1.7 [1306]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +15.4%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	1.2 [1162]		LVP	Dahntay Jones (MEM): -4.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexander Johnson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	10	77%	0.07	3	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	8	50%	0.00	5	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	-0.01	3	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	3	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	56%	-0.01	3	-0.01	7	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	9	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.16	0.00	-0.12	8	25%	0.00	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.23	0.01	0.09	13	86%	0.17	3	-0.02	10	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	19	65%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	16	56%	0.04	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.03	3	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	9	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	7	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	29.3	16.5	27.4	2.6	29.4	134.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.2%

WAS +4.1%

WAS +2.0%

WAS +10.2%

WAS +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	13.7	15.0	15.4	101.0	114.9	104.5
season	15.1	14.8		105.1	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		108.7	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	13.5	12.8	11.3	13.7
WAS	11.7	15.3	13.4	20.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-26	37	11.0	14.6	-3.60	19.1	13.5	5.61
Eddie Jones	6	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-9	3	14.5	13.6	0.85	12.7	15.1	-2.39
Jake Tsakalidis	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-13	11	11.4	15.2	-3.80	16.2	14.1	2.09
Chucky Atkins	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-17	19	11.3	15.3	-4.00	16.5	13.9	2.67
Alexander Johnson	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-12	9	13.6	13.8	-0.19	15.9	13.9	2.04
Dahntay Jones	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-5	-5	14.5	12.3	2.23	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Rudy Gay	54	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-15	15	12.3	15.3	-3.01	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Damon Stoudamire	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.31	-20	5	-25	15.7	11.8	3.86	13.3	16.4	-3.08
Pau Gasol	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	15.8	11.9	3.98	14.5	15.4	-0.86
Hakim Warrick	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-4	-7	13.2	14.4	-1.12	15.1	14.8	0.24
Mike Miller	68	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.34	-27	12	-39	15.3	10.3	4.98	13.5	17.8	-4.33

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	71	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.53	36	-21	57	13.2	19.2	-6.05	14.9	10.7	4.24
Caron Butler	89	89	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-10	35	14.2	20.7	-6.58	13.9	11.9	2.01
Antawn Jamison	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	-7	29	14.3	16.4	-2.09	14.9	10.9	4.05
DeShawn Stevenson	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	2	11	14.5	15.5	-1.05	14.8	12.4	2.42
Brendan Haywood	66	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.21	17	-2	19	15.5	14.0	1.50	14.8	11.7	3.01
Calvin Booth	24	23	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	7	1	12.2	15.8	-3.60	12.4	14.1	-1.70
Antonio Daniels	55	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.39	-9	24	-33	16.5	13.1	3.34	12.0	15.7	-3.62
Jarvis Hayes	43	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.54	-16	31	-47	16.9	13.5	3.37	11.3	15.4	-4.08
Andray Blatche	3	3	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	15	-15	17.0	14.9	2.11	9.0	13.8	-4.85
Donell Taylor	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	30	-45	18.0	14.2	3.80	10.4	14.5	-4.11
Roger Mason Jr.	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	21	-27	21.6	14.2	7.38	11.3	14.0	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, DET 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
NYK 97, UTA 129	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
LAC 85, MIL 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%