NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	126		Excitement	12.7 [13]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (MEM): +84.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	134		Comeback	83.0 [19]		LVP	Dahntay Jones (MEM): -24.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.13	0.29	0.01	22	63%	0.58	4	-0.16	13	92%	0.06
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.06	-0.01	13	65%	0.38	4	-0.36	8	75%	0.03
Earl Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.03	16	49%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Mickael Gelabale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	45%	0.04	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.06
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andreas Glyniadakis	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	57%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	5	60%	0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85	0.85	0.16	0.70	0.02	16	65%	0.85	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.16	0.16	0.02	15	78%	0.50	4	-0.20	7	57%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	6	57%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	83%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	65%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.03	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.09	-0.01	14	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	-0.01	7	39%	-0.14	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	31.2	15.4	26.9	1.7	29.9	1.5	19.3	0.8	18.3	173.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +58.9%

SEA -24.8%

SEA -20.9%

MEM +42.8%

SEA -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MEM	NBA	SEA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	15.4	107.7	113.6	104.5
season	15.4	15.1		105.5	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.4		110.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	13.9	14.9	14.8	19.6	13.8	15.2
MEM	14.9	13.9	16.5	15.7	11.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andreas Glyniadakis	23	23	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.09	6	-14	20	13.6	15.6	-2.04	19.6	13.1	6.50
Chris Wilcox	67	69	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	15.1	15.4	-0.23	15.5	12.8	2.66
Damien Wilkins	70	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-2	-4	14.2	16.8	-2.54	15.0	13.5	1.50
Johan Petro	74	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	16.8	12.7	4.11	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Luke Ridnour	78	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	1	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.17	14.4	14.4	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	107	107	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-3	-2	14.9	18.5	-3.56	14.5	13.5	0.91
Mickael Gelabale	34	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-3	-2	14.6	15.5	-0.85	12.0	15.3	-3.29
Earl Watson	63	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-4	0	16.3	14.0	2.35	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Nick Collison	58	57	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.31	-9	1	-10	15.3	15.2	0.19	13.4	15.2	-1.81

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	40	40	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.61	6	2	4	12.5	15.3	-2.87	13.7	16.1	-2.39
Chucky Atkins	82	80	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.37	14	-6	20	13.3	16.9	-3.66	16.1	13.4	2.66
Rudy Gay	66	66	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-9	26	13.2	15.9	-2.77	16.4	13.7	2.70
Mike Miller	108	105	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	0	8	14.4	14.1	0.30	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Alexander Johnson	72	70	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	3	2	13.9	15.2	-1.28	14.4	16.5	-2.11
Stromile Swift	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	4	0	14.0	14.5	-0.44	16.9	14.7	2.18
Hakim Warrick	36	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	11	-14	14.8	14.2	0.58	13.9	15.9	-1.99
Pau Gasol	43	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	15	-22	17.0	12.8	4.21	14.8	15.5	-0.76
Dahntay Jones	80	78	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.31	2	6	-4	15.2	12.6	2.68	16.2	13.4	2.83
Damon Stoudamire	36	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.11	-6	14	-20	16.9	13.3	3.66	13.4	16.1	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.42,0.28,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.68,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	85.0%
ATL 91, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.45,0.67,0.62,0.84,0.97,0.93,1	84.6%
CLE 114, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.92,0.46,0.32,0.1,0.23,0.05,0	84.6%