NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	78		Excitement	5.5 [735]		MVP	Mikki Moore (NJN): +14.9%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.4 [518]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -25.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	4	91%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	4	60%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Hassan Adams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eddie House	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.08	-0.02	17	29%	-0.12	3	-0.13	8	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.26	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.09	0.02	12	36%	-0.10	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.10	0.03	8	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	65%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	18	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	24.5	16.0	22.2	2.6	40.0	131.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.3%

NJN -8.1%

NJN -7.2%

TOR +16.8%

TOR +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	17.9	15.4	88.6	102.3	104.5
season	15.4	15.2		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.1	13.8	17.4	12.0	14.8
TOR	17.4	15.0	17.7	22.3	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	41	42	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.11	-1	-11	10	15.1	14.5	0.61	19.3	16.7	2.68
Bostjan Nachbar	19	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-18	24	12.4	15.5	-3.10	16.9	18.2	-1.26
Josh Boone	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	6.0	14.9	-8.90	54.0	17.5	36.48
Jason Collins	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-11	10	17.8	13.7	4.18	16.9	18.3	-1.45
Marcus Williams	42	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-16	20	13.8	15.7	-1.93	18.1	17.8	0.32
Mikki Moore	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-12	12	13.8	15.7	-1.92	18.0	17.8	0.18
Hassan Adams	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	0	-12	14.0	15.7	-1.62	17.1	18.9	-1.73
Eddie House	34	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	12.9	16.0	-3.17	18.2	17.8	0.45
Nenad Krstic	51	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	3	-18	16.4	12.6	3.75	18.0	17.8	0.20
Vince Carter	64	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	3	-18	15.6	12.7	2.81	17.1	20.1	-3.00
Jason Kidd	74	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.01	-22	10	-32	15.1	13.0	2.14	18.1	16.8	1.36

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	68	67	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.11	27	-15	42	18.3	16.6	1.72	15.2	13.5	1.73
T.J. Ford	63	63	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-7	26	18.5	16.5	1.97	15.0	14.2	0.78
Rasho Nesterovic	69	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-6	24	16.8	22.1	-5.26	15.5	12.3	3.16
Joey Graham	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-3	18	19.0	16.2	2.75	15.3	13.9	1.39
Jorge Garbajosa	63	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	4	4	17.3	19.5	-2.16	15.5	13.1	2.44
Morris Peterson	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	14	-16	19.3	16.7	2.59	13.2	16.3	-3.10
Fred Jones	16	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	20	-28	14.6	18.7	-4.04	13.4	15.1	-1.74
Andrea Bargnani	36	38	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	23	-34	18.4	17.6	0.82	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Jose Calderon	28	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.08	-6	18	-24	17.1	18.3	-1.21	13.7	15.3	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
CHI 91, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
VAN 87, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.97,1,1	92.5%