NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	5.0 [822]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +15.0%
Toronto Raptors	83		Comeback	1.3 [292]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -13.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.03	12	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.02	9	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.02	0.03	15	65%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	15	50%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	12	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Stephen Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	8	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.01	0.08	15	68%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.04	9	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	28.7	18.7	26.6	3.3	40.5	144.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +54.2%

TOR -2.0%

POR +25.4%

TOR -29.3%

POR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	17.9	13.3	15.4	101.1	89.2	104.5
season	16.7	15.2		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.9	17.2	20.6	20.1	17.9
TOR	14.8	14.8	12.1	11.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-6	22	17.7	19.1	-1.39	13.5	12.1	1.42
Ime Udoka	72	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	1	8	17.9	17.6	0.29	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Travis Outlaw	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	2	6	17.4	18.8	-1.40	12.5	14.7	-2.20
Joel Przybilla	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	1	8	17.9	17.9	-0.02	14.3	12.2	2.10
Martell Webster	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	1	8	17.2	19.1	-1.87	12.9	13.8	-0.88
Jamaal Magloire	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	8	-6	19.1	17.1	1.96	13.8	13.0	0.79
Juan Dixon	52	51	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	11	-12	18.0	17.7	0.28	12.3	14.5	-2.18
Stephen Graham	8	7	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	7	-4	12.5	18.4	-5.89	15.7	13.1	2.63
LaMarcus Aldridge	33	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	9	-8	19.6	16.9	2.74	14.6	12.4	2.14
Dan Dickau	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	11	-12	21.7	17.6	4.05	12.0	13.4	-1.35
Sergio Rodriguez	7	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	15	-20	16.9	18.0	-1.11	12.1	13.4	-1.29

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	9	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-10	10	12.4	13.4	-0.92	13.7	18.4	-4.69
Joey Graham	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-13	16	12.1	13.6	-1.50	19.0	17.5	1.55
Uros Slokar	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-8	6	10.0	13.5	-3.47	16.2	18.0	-1.70
Kris Humphries	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-7	4	15.5	12.8	2.75	15.9	18.3	-2.43
Rasho Nesterovic	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-4	-2	16.1	12.5	3.64	18.8	17.6	1.17
Jose Calderon	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	14.0	13.0	0.97	18.0	17.8	0.16
Fred Jones	56	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-11	12	12.2	14.9	-2.63	18.5	16.9	1.61
Andrea Bargnani	53	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	13.1	13.5	-0.34	17.9	17.8	0.14
T.J. Ford	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	13.0	14.0	-0.97	17.8	18.0	-0.16
Anthony Parker	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	0	-10	14.4	12.0	2.34	18.2	17.5	0.74
Morris Peterson	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-5	0	12.5	14.7	-2.20	17.6	18.3	-0.66
Jorge Garbajosa	80	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	13.4	12.5	0.95	17.8	18.4	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.9%
LAL 117, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.5%
OKC 103, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%