inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 75 Excitement2.4 [1265] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +11.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 107 Comeback1.0 [1233] LVPAl Harrington (IND): -11.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.110.000.05787%0.0600.001100%0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021048%0.0100.001100%0.00
David Harrison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07325%0.0020.0020%0.00
Rawle Marshall-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01337%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Orien Greene-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05617%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.032100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Danny Granger-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021248%-0.002-0.011100%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.09-0.00-0.07925%-0.0210.00250%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Maceo Baston-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.021033%-0.072-0.031369%-0.02
Al Harrington-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.160.00-0.041327%-0.073-0.04425%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.000.021671%0.163-0.04667%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.001260%0.0700.001100%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.022100%0.0620.00450%-0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.05879%0.052-0.02367%0.01
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02959%0.021-0.01475%-0.00
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05250%0.003-0.01250%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02580%0.003-0.0200%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.01-0.05644%0.014-0.04475%-0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.011046%-0.024-0.044100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.429.515.630.01.828.2132.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +42.7%
CLE +5.5%
CLE +7.5%
IND -5.6%
IND -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCLENBAINDCLENBA
this game14.814.115.475.8107.0104.5
season15.316.0101.3103.2
opponent15.615.399.6103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.714.913.614.014.8
CLE12.614.514.115.414.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong29310.06-0.560.620.031-333412.515.8-3.2413.314.5-1.18
David Harrison17180.00-0.500.500.09-3-292613.615.1-1.4714.114.1-0.04
Rawle Marshall1516-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-313011.915.3-3.4715.213.91.25
Orien Greene3737-0.11-0.390.290.30-14-18415.114.60.4813.814.4-0.61
Marquis Daniels4848-0.14-0.360.230.36-17-15-215.214.40.8614.513.80.73
Maceo Baston3230-0.24-0.260.030.32-19-13-617.213.73.5612.714.7-2.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius5556-0.26-0.24-0.030.15-14-18413.915.9-1.9414.713.41.39
Jeff Foster4950-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-20815.014.60.4615.712.53.20
Danny Granger5960-0.34-0.16-0.170.25-20-12-815.214.30.8513.614.9-1.35
Stephen Jackson2928-0.36-0.14-0.230.25-21-11-1016.714.02.7113.414.4-1.09
Jamaal Tinsley5960-0.38-0.12-0.250.09-16-16014.415.4-0.9514.114.10.03
Al Harrington6666-0.48-0.02-0.450.23-24-8-1614.914.70.2113.914.5-0.59

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao61620.500.000.49-0.5335-33814.313.80.4815.114.20.90
LeBron James67670.470.030.44-0.352842413.415.7-2.2815.014.50.50
Eric Snow53520.370.130.25-0.101616013.614.8-1.2214.315.3-0.97
Damon Jones60580.280.220.07-0.241814414.014.3-0.2215.414.01.46
Donyell Marshall70690.280.220.06-0.312012813.914.6-0.7015.114.11.06
Zydrunas Ilgauskas43430.260.240.02-0.061121-1014.713.71.0214.914.70.17
Daniel Gibson50500.240.26-0.02-0.141319-614.713.61.0414.415.2-0.86
Larry Hughes49490.150.35-0.20-0.381814414.513.80.6915.414.21.15
Shannon Brown26260.000.50-0.49-0.14527-2214.913.91.0613.515.3-1.72
Sasha Pavlovic2119-0.060.56-0.620.06-436-4014.214.10.0612.515.3-2.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 100, CHI 1170.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
MIN 77, TOR 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
NYK 71, TOR 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%