NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	161		Excitement	15.8 [3]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +102.8%
New Jersey Nets	157		Comeback	21.9 [78]		LVP	James Jones (PHX): -25.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	1.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.79,1,1,1.03	0.26	0.79	0.02	25	76%	1.20	3	-0.17	5	80%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0.62	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.62	0.06	0.55	-0.00	12	57%	0.64	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Raja Bell	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.18	0.09	0.00	17	71%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.02	-0.00	20	72%	0.41	3	-0.21	6	100%	0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.10	0.02	13	72%	0.41	3	-0.22	6	83%	0.11
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	17	42%	-0.09	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
James Jones	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25	-0.07	-0.20	-0.02	8	19%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.58	0.23	0.36	0.01	17	79%	0.62	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.18	0.00	11	82%	0.34	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.24	0.00	5	87%	0.41	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.16
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.28,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	26	62%	0.63	4	-0.41	9	100%	0.19
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	5	86%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.01	19	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.07
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	18%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	25.4	15.7	27.1	1.7	38.5	1.7	13.4	2.4	15.5	167.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +64.7%

NJN -30.3%

NJN -11.2%

PHX +9.4%

PHX +17.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NJN	NBA	PHX	NJN	NBA
this game	13.9	13.4	15.4	125.8	123.6	104.5
season	13.8	15.4		112.2	103.1
opponent	15.7	16.0		103.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.0	14.8	13.8	14.3	13.6	13.9
NJN	14.7	12.9	12.9	13.4	13.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	109	110	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-9	22	13.9	14.2	-0.36	13.4	13.6	-0.23
Steve Nash	105	106	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-2	8	14.1	13.1	0.95	13.3	13.9	-0.56
Kurt Thomas	34	37	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	11.5	14.8	-3.24	12.6	13.7	-1.04
Boris Diaw	89	87	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	2	0	14.2	13.1	1.12	13.6	13.0	0.53
James Jones	35	32	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.50	-5	9	-14	13.2	14.2	-0.97	14.4	13.0	1.41
Marcus Banks	11	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	14.2	13.9	0.30	11.6	13.5	-1.94
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	73	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.20	0	4	-4	14.3	13.3	1.02	13.5	13.2	0.35
Leandro Barbosa	68	67	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	8	-12	14.4	13.4	1.02	13.3	13.5	-0.15
Raja Bell	102	100	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.42	2	2	0	14.2	12.7	1.48	13.6	12.6	0.96

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	90	90	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.32	3	-7	10	13.7	12.7	0.93	14.6	12.3	2.30
Nenad Krstic	45	46	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-10	16	14.0	13.0	0.99	15.3	13.1	2.18
Antoine Wright	41	39	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.07	2	-6	8	13.4	13.4	0.08	12.9	14.3	-1.45
Hassan Adams	9	8	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-8	12	9.1	13.7	-4.60	15.5	13.8	1.70
Mikki Moore	71	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	2	-8	13.0	13.8	-0.81	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Marcus Williams	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	13.5	13.3	0.23	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Jason Collins	37	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	0	-4	13.4	13.4	-0.01	13.9	13.9	-0.02
Jason Kidd	103	104	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	8	-20	13.2	14.1	-0.91	14.3	12.3	1.99
Eddie House	58	60	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.75	1	-5	6	13.3	13.4	-0.11	12.9	14.7	-1.80
Richard Jefferson	98	100	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.38	-17	13	-30	13.8	12.0	1.75	13.8	14.2	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.4,0.31,0.54,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	87.2%
HOU 132, GSW 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.1,0.01,0	87.0%
IND 97, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.38,0.55,0.43,0.41,0	87.0%