NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	3.5 [1100]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +25.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	116		Comeback	1.3 [819]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (ORL): -6.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.04	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Darko Milicic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	9	35%	-0.01	4	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.24	0.04	0.04	14	84%	0.26	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.02	-0.01	11	83%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.06	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.8	28.2	16.8	26.5	2.0	31.2	134.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.4%

LAC +10.3%

ORL -2.3%

LAC +6.2%

LAC +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.4	95.8	119.6	104.5
season	15.9	15.7		103.4	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		103.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	16.0	13.8	14.8	14.9
LAC	15.6	13.4	15.6	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	26	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.16	-8	-17	9	14.6	15.0	-0.47	15.6	14.9	0.69
Pat Garrity	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.27	-12	-13	1	14.7	15.0	-0.28	15.8	14.9	0.97
Grant Hill	45	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-18	11	14.5	15.3	-0.81	15.7	14.4	1.32
Jameer Nelson	49	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-17	9	14.2	15.7	-1.47	15.3	14.8	0.53
Tony Battie	42	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-21	17	15.5	14.5	1.00	15.8	14.4	1.38
Trevor Ariza	18	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-18	11	15.3	14.8	0.52	12.9	15.7	-2.78
Hedo Turkoglu	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-14	3	14.5	15.5	-1.01	15.1	15.1	0.01
Dwight Howard	71	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-15	5	14.5	16.3	-1.84	14.8	16.0	-1.26
Carlos Arroyo	46	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-8	-9	15.7	14.2	1.47	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Keyon Dooling	46	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-8	-9	15.7	14.2	1.47	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Darko Milicic	52	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.25	-24	-1	-23	15.4	14.4	0.99	14.8	15.4	-0.59

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	55	55	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	3	19	14.4	15.9	-1.49	15.9	13.5	2.45
Corey Maggette	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.32	26	-1	27	14.1	16.5	-2.39	15.1	14.6	0.57
Sam Cassell	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	6	13	14.3	15.7	-1.41	16.4	13.7	2.70
Quinton Ross	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	8	9	14.5	15.5	-0.91	15.8	14.3	1.57
Tim Thomas	67	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	8	9	15.9	13.2	2.68	15.6	13.4	2.26
Elton Brand	71	68	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	15	-5	15.0	15.2	-0.20	15.1	14.5	0.61
Cuttino Mobley	59	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	20	-15	15.3	14.8	0.52	13.7	16.6	-2.84
Shaun Livingston	49	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	21	-17	15.7	14.4	1.28	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Daniel Ewing	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	15.0	15.1	-0.09	9.3	15.4	-6.08
James Singleton	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	15.0	15.1	-0.09	9.3	15.4	-6.08
Paul Davis	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	15.0	15.1	-0.09	9.3	15.4	-6.08
Aaron Williams	23	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	32	-39	17.4	14.4	3.03	13.3	15.4	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
GSW 86, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 76, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%