NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	96		Excitement	7.3 [383]		MVP	Sean May (CHA): +15.5%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.4 [489]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -22.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean May	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	12	69%	0.20	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	8	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Adam Morrison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	-0.01	21	48%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bernard Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Brevin Knight	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.12	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	14	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	14	79%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.21,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	17	48%	-0.07	5	-0.15	18	72%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	33.1	15.4	27.5	2.5	37.1	142.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +55.1%

NJN -14.9%

NJN -6.8%

CHA +14.2%

CHA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.5	14.1	15.4	102.1	97.9	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.0		103.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	15.4	20.3	16.7	16.5
NJN	15.0	14.0	13.4	14.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	54	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	1	2	16.1	17.1	-1.05	14.4	13.7	0.73
Primoz Brezec	70	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	2	0	15.8	18.7	-2.99	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Raymond Felton	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-3	10	18.0	15.0	2.98	14.3	13.9	0.48
Matt Carroll	25	23	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-7	18	18.6	15.8	2.89	16.4	13.4	3.01
Gerald Wallace	59	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	9	-14	16.4	16.7	-0.31	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Adam Morrison	74	74	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	4	-4	16.8	15.6	1.17	13.5	16.3	-2.84
Sean May	46	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	-2	8	17.3	15.7	1.58	15.1	13.2	1.92
Brevin Knight	71	71	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.35	-5	9	-14	15.5	19.8	-4.32	13.3	16.7	-3.41
Bernard Robinson	18	19	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	-1	6	13.6	17.2	-3.67	15.9	13.7	2.23
Melvin Ely	5	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	8	-12	23.4	16.1	7.27	11.8	14.2	-2.45

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Adams	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	0.0	14.1	-14.12	1.0	16.7	-15.69
Antoine Wright	28	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-4	4	17.2	12.8	4.46	18.8	15.5	3.35
Jason Kidd	76	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.43	11	-15	26	12.7	20.1	-7.41	16.2	17.6	-1.37
Bostjan Nachbar	6	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	21.3	13.6	7.71	19.0	16.3	2.68
Mikki Moore	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	1	-6	17.1	12.8	4.26	14.7	17.3	-2.65
Jason Collins	70	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-10	16	13.1	17.1	-4.04	17.7	13.0	4.78
Vince Carter	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	1	-6	13.6	17.1	-3.51	15.7	21.0	-5.26
Marcus Williams	19	21	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	13	-30	19.5	12.8	6.71	16.8	16.4	0.37
Richard Jefferson	81	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	13.6	17.5	-3.88	16.3	17.9	-1.68
Nenad Krstic	83	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-2	0	13.5	18.5	-5.02	16.3	17.9	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.09,0.14,0.36,0.16,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.13,0.31,0.37,0.06,0.04,0	92.2%
SAS 86, DEN 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.21,0.05,0.17,0	92.1%
ORL 85, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.17,0	92.1%