NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	5.7 [695]		MVP	Sarunas Jasikevicius (IND): +20.9%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	6.2 [279]		LVP	Eric Snow (CLE): -12.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	5	58%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.05	0.06	14	62%	0.16	3	-0.08	20	80%	0.04
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.01	14	59%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	23%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	7	37%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	11	62%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.06	0.02	15	64%	0.22	3	-0.08	15	87%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	8	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	10	23%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	33.2	16.5	30.2	2.5	38.2	148.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.1%

CLE -9.3%

IND +7.4%

IND +29.9%

CLE -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.4	96.7	107.8	104.5
season	16.0	15.3		103.2	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	15.5	19.4	17.7	17.1
IND	16.5	13.3	15.8	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-14	18	15.7	18.1	-2.40	15.5	14.5	0.99
LeBron James	80	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-12	14	17.1	17.2	-0.09	15.1	13.0	2.14
Drew Gooden	56	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	17.2	17.0	0.24	15.8	13.2	2.58
Eric Snow	56	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	15.7	19.4	-3.68	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Anderson Varejao	40	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	16.1	17.9	-1.75	13.1	16.2	-3.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-7	4	17.3	17.0	0.36	16.0	13.8	2.19
Sasha Pavlovic	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	3	-16	17.7	16.8	0.93	13.4	15.7	-2.30
Daniel Gibson	18	16	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	19.6	16.5	3.04	14.4	15.0	-0.54
Donyell Marshall	42	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	18.0	16.4	1.56	14.5	15.2	-0.68
Damon Jones	53	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	3	-16	17.9	16.0	1.86	14.5	15.3	-0.80

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	15.1	13.2	1.88	17.0	17.8	-0.82
Sarunas Jasikevicius	55	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-5	20	14.1	16.1	-1.98	17.3	16.9	0.34
Jeff Foster	42	40	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	3	4	15.9	14.0	1.88	18.6	16.0	2.61
Stephen Jackson	48	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-3	16	15.4	14.3	1.11	17.7	16.6	1.05
Jamaal Tinsley	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	3	4	14.7	15.3	-0.54	16.6	18.3	-1.62
Darrell Armstrong	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	5	0	14.5	15.1	-0.50	17.4	17.0	0.45
Rawle Marshall	20	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	11	-12	14.0	15.1	-1.13	14.2	18.1	-3.83
Orien Greene	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	0.5	15.2	-14.70	8.0	17.4	-9.44
Al Harrington	53	54	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	10	-10	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.8	17.6	-0.72
Danny Granger	58	60	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	18	-26	15.4	14.0	1.41	17.9	15.5	2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.5%
SAC 119, PHI 122	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.92,1	92.3%
DET 89, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	92.0%