NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	2.4 [1258]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +11.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	1.0 [1220]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): -8.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	16	58%	0.06	2	-0.02	13	77%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	2	125%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	12	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	38%	-0.02	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Stephen Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.05	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	18	63%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	3	62%	0.01	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	15	49%	0.04	4	-0.05	11	73%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	28.9	15.7	28.6	2.5	30.5	135.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +44.3%

POR -4.7%

MIN +5.7%

MIN +5.4%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.4	87.3	103.1	104.5
season	16.7	15.4		103.1	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.6	15.4	14.3	13.1	14.1
MIN	13.6	13.4	15.1	16.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-18	24	13.1	14.4	-1.33	16.9	14.0	2.92
Dan Dickau	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	-5	-2	10.5	14.6	-4.08	12.7	15.0	-2.33
Travis Outlaw	61	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.52	12	-24	36	13.0	15.7	-2.73	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Stephen Graham	63	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-17	22	13.7	14.8	-1.17	15.5	13.3	2.22
Juan Dixon	46	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-13	14	13.7	14.4	-0.73	14.2	15.1	-0.90
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-2	-8	13.1	15.2	-2.05	14.7	14.7	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	24	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	0	-12	17.0	13.2	3.74	15.8	14.4	1.33
Martell Webster	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-6	0	14.2	14.1	0.10	14.9	14.6	0.32
Ime Udoka	42	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.27	-20	8	-28	15.2	13.3	1.90	13.7	15.3	-1.64
Jarrett Jack	65	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	15.2	12.2	3.00	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Zach Randolph	73	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	6	-24	14.8	12.4	2.31	14.4	15.4	-1.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	70	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-6	24	14.0	16.6	-2.60	14.2	13.7	0.52
Kevin Garnett	66	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-4	20	15.4	13.3	2.13	15.4	11.2	4.15
Trenton Hassell	65	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	3	6	14.9	14.4	0.44	14.5	13.3	1.22
Mike James	53	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-2	16	14.5	15.0	-0.57	15.1	12.9	2.27
Mark Blount	31	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	-3	18	14.4	14.9	-0.48	17.3	12.6	4.68
Troy Hudson	45	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	14	-16	15.0	14.5	0.57	12.9	15.1	-2.27
Marko Jaric	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.04	3	9	-6	14.1	15.1	-0.99	12.7	14.9	-2.25
Mark Madsen	34	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	16	-20	15.1	14.5	0.62	12.7	14.8	-2.08
Craig Smith	28	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	12	-12	14.8	14.7	0.15	13.1	14.5	-1.44
Randy Foye	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	18	-24	16.6	14.0	2.60	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Justin Reed	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	11	-10	13.4	15.0	-1.53	11.5	14.6	-3.08
Eddie Griffin	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	16	-20	13.6	14.9	-1.38	11.1	14.7	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 70, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
DEN 97, SEA 123	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 96, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%