inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 111 Excitement5.5 [742] MVPJosh Smith (ATL): +25.7%
Toronto Raptors 102 Comeback1.1 [461] LVPTyronn Lue (ATL): -8.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0.260,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.260.200.100.051678%0.312-0.065100%0.03
Joe Johnson0.250,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.250.190.070.012071%0.282-0.03887%0.04
Josh Childress0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.05-0.031452%0.131-0.02367%-0.00
Shelden Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.014100%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cedric Bozeman-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.02-0.01520%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Matt Freije-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02741%-0.012-0.04837%-0.05
Tyronn Lue-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.011142%-0.043-0.054100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.080.11-0.011365%0.211-0.0100%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.140.040.031178%0.171-0.021100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.011159%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00367%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.021233%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.01333%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Jorge Garbajosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0120%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.030.00250%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.020.031646%0.012-0.07956%-0.03
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.020.051353%-0.003-0.07683%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.426.416.627.22.532.5129.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +15.9%
ATL +17.7%
ATL +2.7%
ATL +13.4%
ATL +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLTORNBAATLTORNBA
this game16.711.915.4109.9102.0104.5
season16.115.2101.1104.7
opponent15.415.3104.1106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.617.817.017.516.7
TOR14.211.411.310.611.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia60620.64-0.140.790.1218-92716.616.9-0.2712.810.32.50
Josh Smith75760.56-0.060.610.0916-72316.617.1-0.4512.410.32.05
Joe Johnson87860.490.010.470.1910-11116.816.50.2812.39.42.95
Josh Childress77750.290.210.080.35-211-1316.916.20.6511.214.0-2.81
Shelden Williams32330.220.28-0.06-0.1011-21314.717.7-3.0112.911.41.52
Cedric Bozeman41420.200.30-0.09-0.0381716.916.60.3112.611.41.17
Tyronn Lue66630.170.33-0.150.32-514-1917.016.30.7010.414.5-4.12
Matt Freije19170.070.43-0.360.0709-915.317.1-1.8212.111.90.20
Solomon Jones10100.000.50-0.500.03-110-1119.016.52.5112.011.90.12
Lorenzen Wright3836-0.150.65-0.790.15-1019-2918.016.02.0210.512.7-2.13

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Humphries21200.05-0.550.60-0.136-152110.012.4-2.3320.315.94.44
PJ Tucker11-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-997.011.9-4.948.016.8-8.83
Andrea Bargnani2223-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-7511.612.0-0.3314.217.5-3.33
Jorge Garbajosa2729-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-7512.411.70.6616.117.0-0.94
Joey Graham3233-0.18-0.320.15-0.15-1-8710.912.4-1.4916.716.7-0.02
Jose Calderon4142-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-9911.012.5-1.4715.817.4-1.64
Fred Jones5457-0.25-0.250.00-0.281-101111.612.3-0.6917.615.71.88
T.J. Ford6363-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-1-712.111.60.5116.617.1-0.50
Rasho Nesterovic2726-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-156-2114.011.12.8415.317.3-1.98
Morris Peterson7980-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.21-4-5112.210.91.2517.314.62.74
Chris Bosh8181-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.21-5-4-112.011.30.7717.414.23.11
Anthony Parker5250-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-156-2112.311.50.8316.017.4-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 95, LAC 850.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,093.1%
WAS 127, CLE 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,093.0%
NJN 101, ATL 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.07,0.03,0,0,093.0%