NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	8.9 [152]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +25.8%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	19.6 [22]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -14.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.26	0.06	0.20	-0.00	6	62%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.21	0.05	0.17	0.00	27	60%	0.63	7	-0.41	4	75%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.01	9	65%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	83%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.10	0.03	13	62%	0.05	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	26	53%	0.20	3	-0.05	18	83%	0.07
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	14	43%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.1	-0.10	0.08	-0.17	0.01	4	92%	0.13	2	-0.23	5	80%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	8	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.11	-0.11	0.11	-0.20	0.03	9	76%	0.11	1	-0.22	3	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.04	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.7	31.2	14.7	28.2	2.4	37.4	145.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +84.3%

DEN -9.8%

DEN -10.3%

DEN -9.2%

DEN -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	15.4	107.9	109.2	104.5
season	15.7	14.0		103.7	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	15.0	17.9	12.9	14.8
DEN	10.4	14.4	15.5	17.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	52	54	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-15	32	13.5	16.2	-2.67	15.1	12.8	2.33
Malik Rose	56	54	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-8	18	14.1	15.8	-1.67	14.7	13.3	1.42
Eddy Curry	28	27	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-5	12	14.5	15.0	-0.46	15.0	13.8	1.24
Stephon Marbury	73	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.57	-2	4	-6	15.2	13.8	1.40	14.4	13.3	1.09
Jamal Crawford	93	90	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	14.9	13.7	1.17	13.9	16.4	-2.47
Renaldo Balkman	30	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	2	-2	14.7	14.9	-0.14	14.2	14.1	0.16
Kelvin Cato	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	-4	10	11.1	15.2	-4.08	10.4	14.5	-4.03
David Lee	47	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	12	-22	15.6	14.2	1.39	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Channing Frye	43	41	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.06	-15	17	-32	16.4	13.7	2.72	12.1	15.5	-3.36
Quentin Richardson	74	72	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.20	-6	8	-14	15.0	14.3	0.78	14.4	13.4	0.98

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	41	41	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.17	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.1	0.12	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Eduardo Najera	51	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.41	13	-15	28	13.0	15.3	-2.34	16.2	13.4	2.76
Yakhouba Diawara	27	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.22	-9	7	-16	15.2	13.7	1.50	14.3	15.0	-0.78
Joe Smith	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.20	-10	8	-18	14.4	13.9	0.50	13.4	15.6	-2.20
Linas Kleiza	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	6	-14	10.1	14.5	-4.39	10.7	15.2	-4.57
Earl Boykins	44	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	5	-12	14.7	13.6	1.05	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Carmelo Anthony	81	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-8	14	14.1	14.0	0.12	15.5	11.9	3.58
J.R. Smith	68	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.66	7	-9	16	13.9	14.5	-0.62	15.3	13.7	1.57
Andre Miller	72	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.62	2	-4	6	14.6	12.7	1.92	15.0	14.2	0.81
Marcus Camby	61	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.59	-1	-1	0	14.1	14.1	-0.05	14.5	15.4	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.81,0.68,0.9,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.72,0	91.1%
DET 114, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.7,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.76,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.86,0.59,0	91.1%
PHX 103, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.58,0	90.7%