NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	81		Excitement	4.8 [859]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (SAC): +9.2%
Sacramento Kings	93		Comeback	1.0 [1072]		LVP	Mark Blount (MIN): -11.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	13	77%	0.16	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Bracey Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Reed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	11	23%	-0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	59%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	62%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	17	52%	0.05	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	14	45%	0.04	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	10	45%	-0.01	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	31.1	15.7	25.0	1.8	25.2	125.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +26.7%

SAC +6.9%

SAC +2.8%

SAC +9.3%

SAC +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	16.4	15.4	86.2	101.1	104.5
season	15.4	14.7		101.9	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	13.6	17.5	12.4	14.6
SAC	15.6	17.1	16.0	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bracey Wright	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	9.3	14.7	-5.40	19.5	16.3	3.22
Marko Jaric	59	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-18	24	13.1	17.1	-4.02	17.7	14.1	3.57
Craig Smith	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-18	24	12.6	15.4	-2.81	17.2	16.1	1.09
Randy Foye	20	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.26	5	-17	22	13.4	14.9	-1.41	15.8	16.6	-0.86
Justin Reed	11	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-14	16	13.5	14.7	-1.15	16.8	16.4	0.49
Troy Hudson	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	15.7	14.1	1.55	16.7	16.3	0.40
Trenton Hassell	44	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-3	-6	16.0	13.3	2.79	15.4	17.3	-1.91
Kevin Garnett	80	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	14.5	14.6	-0.09	16.3	17.1	-0.77
Mike James	67	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	5	-22	14.5	14.6	-0.09	16.2	17.0	-0.79
Ricky Davis	62	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	10	-32	15.1	13.5	1.57	16.1	17.0	-0.96
Mark Blount	68	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.11	-22	10	-32	15.6	11.9	3.65	16.2	17.1	-0.92

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	84	86	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.11	18	-6	24	16.1	19.5	-3.37	14.8	11.9	2.94
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	1	10	16.5	16.2	0.22	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Kenny Thomas	54	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	16.3	16.7	-0.40	16.0	12.4	3.65
Kevin Martin	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	4	4	16.2	17.8	-1.64	14.3	16.0	-1.73
Mike Bibby	71	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	5	2	16.6	15.7	0.98	14.5	14.9	-0.48
Ronnie Price	21	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	7	-2	15.7	16.6	-0.98	14.9	14.5	0.48
John Salmons	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	10	-8	17.2	15.4	1.78	14.0	15.3	-1.32
Francisco Garcia	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	9	-6	17.9	16.2	1.72	12.3	14.9	-2.56
Corliss Williamson	0	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	14	-16	0.0	16.4	-16.42	4.0	14.7	-10.68
Maurice Taylor	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	15	-18	15.8	16.5	-0.69	14.8	14.5	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 73, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NJN 82, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%