NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	5.5 [756]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (IND): +22.8%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	1.0 [908]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -24.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.07	-0.03	6	108%	0.23	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.04	0.04	24	64%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.05	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	15	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	38%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.19	0.00	0.03	9	81%	0.20	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.04
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.07	0.03	11	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	20	49%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.07	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.21	-0.06	-0.03	9	20%	-0.11	6	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	501.0	3.5	30.2	16.4	27.9	1.8	31.2	612.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.3%

NYK -12.3%

NYK -3.0%

IND +9.7%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.4	111.2	97.9	104.5
season	15.3	15.7		101.3	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.5	13.9	14.7	16.9	14.7
NYK	15.8	13.8	15.3	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	78	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-6	26	14.5	15.5	-0.97	14.9	14.5	0.35
Danny Granger	50	50	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.07	20	-6	26	15.4	14.1	1.30	15.3	14.3	1.08
Sarunas Jasikevicius	39	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	2	10	15.6	14.2	1.44	14.7	14.9	-0.11
Darrell Armstrong	34	34	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	1	12	16.3	13.9	2.45	16.3	14.0	2.23
Jeff Foster	22	21	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	10	-6	14.6	14.8	-0.17	17.7	14.0	3.64
Jermaine O'Neal	78	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	6	2	14.3	16.2	-1.92	14.2	17.1	-2.97
Jamaal Tinsley	61	60	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	15	-16	13.7	16.4	-2.74	13.8	16.5	-2.75
Maceo Baston	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	24.0	14.5	9.47	8.0	14.9	-6.89
Rawle Marshall	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	24.0	14.5	9.47	8.0	14.9	-6.89
Stephen Jackson	61	61	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	17	-20	13.6	16.6	-3.05	14.6	15.2	-0.69
David Harrison	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	16	-18	16.5	14.5	2.02	13.2	15.0	-1.79
Marquis Daniels	51	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	17	-20	14.8	14.6	0.17	15.3	14.4	0.91

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	6	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-11	8	18.2	14.6	3.57	19.7	14.5	5.24
Renaldo Balkman	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-11	8	17.7	14.6	3.20	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Quentin Richardson	79	79	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	14.3	17.2	-2.89	14.9	13.9	1.03
David Lee	41	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-10	6	15.9	14.0	1.84	15.4	14.2	1.28
Steve Francis	73	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-11	8	14.1	17.0	-2.85	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Nate Robinson	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	14.9	14.7	0.14	16.1	12.9	3.22
Eddy Curry	81	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	14.2	17.7	-3.52	14.5	16.0	-1.54
Jamal Crawford	32	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	0	-14	17.0	13.8	3.21	16.2	14.0	2.20
Channing Frye	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	-5	-4	15.2	14.3	0.90	12.8	17.0	-4.25
Stephon Marbury	57	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	2	-18	14.1	15.8	-1.72	13.8	16.0	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.25,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, MIL 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.7%
MIA 108, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.21,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
IND 101, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.26,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.3%