NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	8.8 [161]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +64.3%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	66.6 [13]		LVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): -56.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.64	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.64	0.22	0.44	0.02	15	75%	0.69	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	20	46%	0.09	4	-0.12	8	87%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	1	0%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Brad Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	7	31%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.23	-0.14	-0.08	0.01	15	56%	0.16	11	-0.39	11	91%	0.07

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.10	-0.02	21	58%	0.22	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.00	8	65%	0.21	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	33%	-0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.56	-0.56	-0.13	-0.46	-0.03	10	43%	0.05	6	-0.61	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	32.0	14.8	29.2	2.6	42.3	145.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.3%

SAC +12.8%

CHI -5.2%

SAC +27.9%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	13.9	13.4	15.4	84.8	83.0	104.5
season	14.7	14.5		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	15.2	14.1	11.7	13.9
CHI	13.7	16.1	13.1	11.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	91	92	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-5	11	13.5	16.3	-2.80	13.9	10.5	3.39
Kevin Martin	99	101	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-4	9	13.5	19.2	-5.63	13.7	8.6	5.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	59	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-5	11	13.8	13.9	-0.06	13.9	13.0	0.90
Francisco Garcia	6	3	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.53	-5	6	-11	15.3	13.8	1.57	14.7	13.4	1.26
Ronnie Price	6	3	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.56	-7	8	-15	15.3	13.8	1.57	14.7	13.4	1.26
Brad Miller	64	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-7	15	13.7	14.1	-0.47	13.0	14.3	-1.29
Corliss Williamson	9	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	-2	5	15.7	13.7	1.98	11.3	13.7	-2.37
Mike Bibby	99	103	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-7	15	13.8	15.3	-1.57	13.4	14.7	-1.26
John Salmons	22	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.26	-12	13	-25	14.8	13.6	1.16	13.5	13.4	0.07
Kenny Thomas	70	70	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.20	-7	8	-15	14.3	12.9	1.46	12.9	14.6	-1.73

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	45	46	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-7	13	13.5	13.4	0.08	15.3	12.7	2.65
Malik Allen	10	11	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-4	7	11.5	13.6	-2.15	16.7	13.5	3.21
Tyrus Thomas	11	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-6	11	15.3	13.2	2.04	18.7	13.2	5.43
P.J. Brown	43	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	0	-1	13.3	13.5	-0.20	13.1	14.3	-1.26
Ben Wallace	93	88	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	4	-9	13.9	10.4	3.49	13.4	16.0	-2.56
Thabo Sefolosha	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	1	-3	15.6	12.7	2.88	14.0	13.8	0.19
Adrian Griffin	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	2	-5	11.5	13.6	-2.10	15.1	13.8	1.38
Kirk Hinrich	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-5	9	12.9	14.4	-1.50	13.4	14.6	-1.12
Andres Nocioni	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-6	11	14.1	13.0	1.17	14.5	13.3	1.18
Chris Duhon	67	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.42	-7	6	-13	13.4	13.6	-0.23	13.0	15.2	-2.19
Luol Deng	98	97	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.44	-7	6	-13	13.0	18.5	-5.47	13.5	18.0	-4.48
Viktor Khryapa	20	22	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.57	-3	2	-5	12.2	13.7	-1.53	13.0	14.1	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.96,0	90.0%
MIL 93, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.64,0.83,0.73,0	89.9%
PHI 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0	89.2%