NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	2.9 [1207]		MVP	Grant Hill (ORL): +12.4%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	1.1 [715]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): -8.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	21	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	7	76%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	70%	0.05	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	7	19%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	12	79%	0.16	4	-0.06	10	90%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	95%	0.09	5	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	61%	0.05	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	33.4	17.8	26.5	2.6	37.3	146.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.6%

ORL +11.5%

ORL +0.4%

ORL +2.9%

ORL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.4	97.9	114.7	104.5
season	14.5	15.9		103.1	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.0	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	19.2	13.1	15.5	11.8	14.7
ORL	15.0	14.7	14.5	17.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Barrett	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-17	19	11.3	15.2	-3.86	16.2	15.3	0.81
Adrian Griffin	28	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-20	25	13.2	15.3	-2.06	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Chris Duhon	56	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-16	17	12.9	17.2	-4.36	16.0	14.8	1.20
Malik Allen	48	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-21	27	13.7	15.7	-2.04	15.7	15.3	0.41
Thabo Sefolosha	43	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-19	23	12.6	16.4	-3.77	15.8	15.2	0.60
Viktor Khryapa	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-13	11	14.3	14.8	-0.53	14.4	15.7	-1.24
P.J. Brown	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-4	-7	17.9	13.7	4.21	15.3	15.5	-0.14
Andres Nocioni	41	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-14	13	13.4	15.7	-2.22	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Luol Deng	37	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	0	-15	17.1	13.2	3.90	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Ben Wallace	52	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.35	-26	11	-37	16.6	12.5	4.16	15.1	15.9	-0.75
Kirk Hinrich	61	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	2	-19	15.5	13.3	2.28	15.7	14.9	0.81
Ben Gordon	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	6	-27	15.8	12.7	3.09	15.3	15.7	-0.37

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	65	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.18	24	-9	33	15.0	16.4	-1.34	16.1	12.1	4.06
Jameer Nelson	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.14	18	-3	21	15.8	14.8	1.01	15.9	12.6	3.28
Dwight Howard	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	1	13	15.7	14.8	0.95	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Tony Battie	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	0	15	16.0	14.9	1.10	16.0	13.1	2.97
Grant Hill	53	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	-1	17	16.1	14.6	1.45	15.7	13.3	2.33
Carlos Arroyo	38	39	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	14	-13	14.6	16.0	-1.46	13.0	15.9	-2.88
Keyon Dooling	57	58	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	17	-19	16.1	14.4	1.68	13.2	17.1	-3.88
Darko Milicic	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	15	-15	14.9	15.8	-0.96	14.9	14.6	0.24
Keith Bogans	35	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.25	-7	22	-29	14.4	16.0	-1.62	12.5	16.1	-3.57
Bo Outlaw	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.2	15.6	-3.34	12.5	14.8	-2.30
Travis Diener	6	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	19	-23	14.2	15.5	-1.37	8.4	15.2	-6.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIL 56, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DEN 81, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%