NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	9.7 [97]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +46.2%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	5.5 [326]		LVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): -18.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.15	0.03	0.13	0.01	18	51%	0.21	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.1	0.01	0.09	0.00	5	47%	0.10	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.22
Mike Dunleavy	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	12	47%	0.16	1	-0.07	8	87%	0.09
Will Bynum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	16	49%	0.04	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	25	49%	0.03	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.11	0.36	0.01	16	68%	0.56	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.36	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.00	13	68%	0.36	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.31	0.31	0.04	0.26	-0.00	15	68%	0.49	5	-0.19	4	50%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.2	14.8	28.2	3.3	36.6	134.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +105.9%

GSW -19.9%

GSW -17.0%

GSW -17.1%

GSW -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	15.6	108.5	111.7	104.4
season	14.8	17.0		102.9	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	14.8	17.2	16.1	15.5
UTA	14.4	18.6	12.8	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	67	66	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-6	9	16.8	12.3	4.50	15.6	14.1	1.56
Mike Dunleavy	77	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.44	13	-16	29	14.9	17.9	-2.95	14.6	18.0	-3.41
Derek Fisher	77	77	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.45	12	-15	27	15.4	15.9	-0.51	15.3	14.8	0.50
Calbert Cheaney	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	5	-13	15.3	15.6	-0.34	18.4	12.9	5.49
Monta Ellis	89	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	15.4	17.2	-1.83	14.5	24.3	-9.79
Will Bynum	25	27	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	14	-31	15.0	15.7	-0.69	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Andris Biedrins	47	48	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	-1	-1	15.4	15.5	-0.04	13.6	16.8	-3.12
Adonal Foyle	48	47	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	11	-25	15.3	15.7	-0.36	15.4	14.9	0.51

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	65	63	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.41	21	-18	39	13.5	18.9	-5.34	16.4	13.5	2.91
CJ Miles	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-3	9	16.2	13.1	3.14	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Carlos Boozer	63	64	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.52	2	1	1	12.7	20.2	-7.45	15.2	16.0	-0.73
Deron Williams	72	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.48	0	3	-3	14.1	18.6	-4.47	15.7	14.8	0.85
Mehmet Okur	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	0	3	15.3	14.7	0.58	15.8	13.9	1.92
Jarron Collins	40	38	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-8	19	18.2	12.9	5.36	16.2	14.9	1.29
Kris Humphries	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	9	-15	16.5	15.0	1.52	12.2	16.0	-3.78
Greg Ostertag	7	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	13	-23	18.6	14.9	3.67	10.5	15.9	-5.43
Keith McLeod	36	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	7	-11	19.8	12.3	7.47	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Devin Brown	34	35	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	11	-19	13.3	16.2	-2.99	15.3	15.5	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.27,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	92.6%
CHA 99, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.32,0.15,0.33,0.42,1	90.7%
LAL 101, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.42,1	90.7%