inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 99 Excitement7.2 [400] MVPDonyell Marshall (CLE): +5.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 100 Comeback3.8 [704] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -28.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyronn Lue0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.050.07-0.000.011059%0.0500.002100%0.01
Esteban Batista0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00267%0.0500.00580%0.00
Al Harrington0.040,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.040.010.011357%0.071-0.0220%-0.08
Donta Smith0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Grundy0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.01267%0.031-0.03875%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,00.000.000.011250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Josh Childress-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00839%-0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Joe Johnson-0.090,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.011239%-0.042-0.054100%0.04
Josh Smith-0.280,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.28-0.01-0.270.001849%-0.143-0.14786%0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.011064%0.102-0.04560%-0.14
Ira Newble0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00567%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.02-0.00756%0.051-0.03450%-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.02-0.00750%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Eric Snow0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01460%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.020.00761%0.135-0.14967%-0.04
Luke Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.040.01362%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02455%0.001-0.03367%-0.01
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00650%0.012-0.064100%0.02
Ronald Murray0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.021745%0.003-0.06837%-0.10
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.0020%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.732.215.625.52.043.1145.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +41.9%
ATL -8.6%
CLE +37.3%
ATL -20.6%
ATL -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCLENBAATLCLENBA
this game14.315.215.6100.0104.2104.4
season15.616.2103.9105.6
opponent15.515.5103.9109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.817.315.211.414.3
CLE18.312.214.816.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Grundy13130.22-0.720.94-0.0710-112113.814.4-0.6518.514.73.84
Donta Smith16160.14-0.640.79-0.036-71314.114.4-0.3214.715.3-0.56
Josh Childress61610.08-0.580.65-0.2210-112114.813.61.2216.513.13.40
Esteban Batista2221-0.08-0.420.350.07-54-915.014.10.8613.015.8-2.84
Marvin Williams6763-0.13-0.370.24-0.5113-142713.615.9-2.3215.115.4-0.27
Zaza Pachulia4345-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-65-1115.613.42.2116.214.41.76
Tyronn Lue5954-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.391-2313.815.1-1.3314.216.5-2.24
Al Harrington6563-0.610.11-0.71-0.34-98-1714.015.0-1.0215.414.80.56
Josh Smith8886-0.620.12-0.74-0.44-65-1114.512.71.8115.016.9-1.88
Joe Johnson6158-0.870.37-1.25-0.32-1918-3714.414.30.0714.516.4-1.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Graham41430.67-0.170.850.2315-142913.416.5-3.1114.314.4-0.14
Anderson Varejao66670.62-0.120.730.3210-91914.516.8-2.3014.114.7-0.57
Eric Snow38390.54-0.040.59-0.0420-193915.015.3-0.3216.313.03.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas37370.51-0.010.51-0.0218-173515.115.3-0.2216.013.32.66
Ira Newble51530.260.240.030.53-910-1916.014.41.6213.415.4-2.06
Ronald Murray76800.200.30-0.090.61-1415-2916.012.13.9413.816.6-2.84
Donyell Marshall60620.030.47-0.430.47-1516-3115.414.90.5313.316.0-2.66
Alan Henderson10120.010.49-0.490.07-23-515.215.2-0.0214.814.30.57
Sasha Pavlovic1413-0.040.54-0.58-0.0401-113.515.5-2.0113.814.4-0.65
Damon Jones5251-0.040.54-0.590.07-45-914.815.7-0.8515.013.61.37
Luke Jackson1719-0.090.59-0.680.05-56-1115.815.10.7314.214.4-0.15
Drew Gooden1819-0.170.67-0.850.09-910-1918.214.53.7014.414.30.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 95, NJN 1040.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,191.7%
SEA 99, NJN 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.99,191.7%
DEN 96, NJN 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.92,191.4%