NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	2.5 [1264]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +22.9%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.0 [1319]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (NYK): -6.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	13	70%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	7	44%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jackie Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.06	11	60%	0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	3	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	15	55%	0.04	7	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	5	40%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.03	0.00	10	95%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.01	-0.04	18	62%	0.15	4	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	7	44%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	2	71%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	9	44%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.5	27.4	17.4	24.5	2.5	29.2	132.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.0%

DET +8.3%

NYK -1.1%

DET +3.3%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	16.5	15.6	106.6	113.2	104.4
season	15.7	16.9		102.1	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		101.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.9	16.3	15.1	13.1	15.1
DET	13.6	16.5	18.4	18.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackie Butler	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.65	19	-25	44	13.8	16.7	-2.84	17.5	15.4	2.11
Maurice Taylor	51	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.59	17	-23	40	14.1	16.3	-2.23	17.5	15.3	2.14
David Lee	71	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.54	12	-18	30	14.4	17.5	-3.14	17.3	14.1	3.19
Ime Udoka	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	14.8	15.3	-0.44	16.0	17.0	-0.96
Nate Robinson	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-5	4	15.2	14.9	0.25	17.2	14.5	2.76
Qyntel Woods	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.15	-16	10	-26	16.4	14.7	1.73	15.0	17.0	-2.01
Malik Rose	40	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.27	-23	17	-40	16.3	14.1	2.23	15.3	17.5	-2.14
Eddy Curry	41	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.32	-25	19	-44	16.7	13.8	2.84	15.4	17.5	-2.11
Jamal Crawford	71	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.00	-16	10	-26	15.5	13.7	1.73	16.0	19.1	-3.16

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	61	61	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-13	32	16.2	17.2	-1.02	15.9	13.4	2.53
Tayshaun Prince	54	54	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	-12	30	16.4	16.8	-0.39	15.8	14.1	1.62
Rasheed Wallace	40	41	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.29	25	-19	44	15.5	17.4	-1.87	15.9	14.5	1.42
Richard Hamilton	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-11	28	16.3	16.9	-0.64	15.2	15.0	0.22
Chauncey Billups	47	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-17	40	15.9	17.2	-1.36	15.1	15.1	0.02
Antonio McDyess	48	47	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.53	-15	21	-36	17.9	15.1	2.81	14.7	15.5	-0.73
Lindsey Hunter	44	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.57	-17	23	-40	17.2	15.9	1.36	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Tony Delk	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.38	-11	17	-28	16.9	16.3	0.64	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Maurice Evans	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	17	-28	17.9	16.0	1.83	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Carlos Delfino	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	14.5	16.9	-2.36	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Dale Davis	16	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	10	-14	15.9	16.7	-0.74	15.3	15.1	0.20
Jason Maxiell	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.36	-13	19	-32	17.1	16.4	0.63	11.3	16.0	-4.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 98, ATL 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAC 100, SEA 125	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%