NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	8.7 [169]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +45.3%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	101		Comeback	4.4 [157]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -7.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.45	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.45	0.07	0.39	0.01	24	53%	0.50	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.05
Donyell Marshall	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.16	0.00	7	114%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29	0.19	0.11	0.01	15	71%	0.29	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Damon Jones	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	2	133%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Alan Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.27	0.27	0.02	0.25	-0.00	15	55%	0.32	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.15
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	8	68%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	9	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.06	-0.01	9	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.22
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	10	54%	0.05	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	32.4	14.8	26.3	1.7	41.8	143.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +112.3%

NOK -35.8%

NOK -21.7%

NOK -1.2%

NOK -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOK	NBA	CLE	NOK	NBA
this game	15.6	17.8	15.6	118.4	117.4	104.4
season	16.2	16.3		105.6	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	15.5	15.2	17.5	15.6
NOK	18.7	16.5	20.1	16.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	54	54	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.49	13	-11	24	15.2	16.2	-0.97	17.8	17.6	0.21
Ronald Murray	66	65	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-10	22	15.0	17.3	-2.29	17.7	18.0	-0.26
LeBron James	76	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	15.6	15.5	0.01	17.7	18.3	-0.62
Larry Hughes	49	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	3	-4	15.8	15.2	0.56	17.5	18.1	-0.67
Donyell Marshall	42	40	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.51	-11	13	-24	16.3	14.8	1.51	17.1	18.3	-1.13
Drew Gooden	61	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	-7	16	14.8	17.3	-2.45	18.6	15.8	2.74
Alan Henderson	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	7	-12	17.4	15.1	2.31	16.6	18.0	-1.46
Eric Snow	43	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.5	0.10	18.2	17.3	0.95
Damon Jones	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	11	-20	16.4	15.2	1.19	17.5	17.9	-0.35

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	28	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-8	14	18.1	17.6	0.57	16.3	15.2	1.14
Kirk Snyder	24	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-9	16	16.5	18.2	-1.68	17.6	14.7	2.94
Rasual Butler	47	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	17.3	18.3	-1.01	14.8	16.4	-1.54
Marc Jackson	41	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-7	12	18.2	17.4	0.84	16.8	14.3	2.45
P.J. Brown	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	4	-10	17.6	18.0	-0.47	14.9	16.5	-1.67
David West	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	18.6	16.6	1.99	14.8	16.5	-1.74
Linton Johnson	24	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-3	4	17.8	17.7	0.05	17.1	15.0	2.15
Desmond Mason	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	7	-16	17.1	18.4	-1.31	14.5	16.7	-2.25
Speedy Claxton	48	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-4	6	17.7	17.8	-0.15	16.0	15.0	0.98
Chris Paul	74	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.44	-7	5	-12	18.0	16.1	1.94	15.1	18.0	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.16,0.16,0	91.1%
HOU 119, SEA 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.29,0.24,0.26,0	90.8%
HOU 93, NOK 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.59,0.28,0	90.6%