NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	121		Excitement	5.1 [810]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +22.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	2.2 [266]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -13.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.25	0.04	0.06	18	83%	0.33	4	-0.10	10	100%	0.03
Chris Wilcox	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	12	77%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	79%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Robert Swift	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noel Felix	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	38%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	0.08	9	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.06	17	68%	0.12	4	-0.13	7	71%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	13	38%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	27.6	15.4	23.3	1.5	36.6	129.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.4%

POR -4.4%

SEA +9.1%

SEA +7.3%

SEA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	13.5	16.4	15.6	122.2	114.9	104.4
season	15.0	16.6		108.9	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.8		109.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.3	14.6	12.6	14.7	13.5
POR	16.6	16.8	18.1	14.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	43	42	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-2	17	14.0	13.2	0.84	15.8	16.8	-1.06
Earl Watson	65	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-2	17	13.5	13.6	-0.15	15.3	18.3	-2.98
Ray Allen	86	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	2	9	13.7	12.2	1.51	16.6	14.6	1.97
Chris Wilcox	78	74	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	2	9	12.8	16.1	-3.30	15.9	18.2	-2.39
Damien Wilkins	78	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	3	7	13.6	13.4	0.15	16.5	15.9	0.60
Luke Ridnour	67	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	10	-7	12.9	14.9	-1.96	16.3	16.6	-0.36
Noel Felix	6	7	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	9	-5	11.2	13.7	-2.53	17.3	16.3	0.99
Mikki Moore	22	20	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	13	-13	15.4	13.0	2.40	18.2	15.9	2.39
Robert Swift	50	48	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	17	-21	14.2	12.9	1.36	17.6	15.1	2.56

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	64	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-13	13	16.0	17.2	-1.26	13.6	13.4	0.29
Zach Randolph	52	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-13	13	17.4	15.1	2.22	14.0	13.0	1.00
Steve Blake	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-12	11	17.7	15.1	2.57	14.1	13.0	1.04
Darius Miles	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	17.2	15.2	2.04	13.7	13.3	0.41
Theo Ratliff	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	15.9	17.4	-1.47	13.3	14.0	-0.75
Brian Skinner	31	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-7	1	17.4	15.9	1.47	14.0	13.3	0.75
Martell Webster	41	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-3	-7	15.4	17.1	-1.74	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Sebastian Telfair	47	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	15.1	17.7	-2.57	13.0	14.1	-1.04
Viktor Khryapa	26	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	0	-13	16.8	16.2	0.55	13.4	13.6	-0.26
Voshon Lenard	43	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	15.4	17.2	-1.80	13.1	13.9	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
GSW 105, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0	94.3%
BOS 110, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%