inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 120 Excitement9.7 [91] MVPRasual Butler (NOK): +17.6%
Toronto Raptors 113 Comeback12.7 [76] LVPMike James (TOR): -29.8%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.180.030.13-0.021457%0.252-0.072100%0.01
Marc Jackson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.010.09-0.011453%0.142-0.042100%0.01
Aaron Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.00965%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
J.R. Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00771%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Chris Paul0.000,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.001555%0.113-0.111479%0.10
Brandon Bass-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Speedy Claxton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.04-0.001038%0.084-0.136100%0.04
Linton Johnson-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.080.00430%-0.111-0.02250%-0.01
David West-0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.240.02-0.260.012251%-0.152-0.091100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01667%0.0700.00367%-0.00
Eric Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03862%0.081-0.0800%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.020.011845%0.021-0.02667%0.03
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.07-0.050.072061%0.063-0.101100%0.00
Pape Sow0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0120%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Andre Barrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13-0.130.01-0.100.032649%-0.052-0.08367%-0.01
Mike James0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.29,-0.35,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.34,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3-0.30-0.20-0.14-0.042529%-0.243-0.062100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.32.427.415.824.22.728.01.814.72.412.6156.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.81.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOK +25.9%
NOK +31.2%
TOR -1.7%
TOR -12.4%
NOK +7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKTORNBANOKTORNBA
this game15.814.815.6105.3100.0104.4
season16.315.6101.2107.3
opponent15.415.3110.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOK14.114.815.918.521.816.1
TOR16.614.014.712.324.115.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Linton Johnson58530.97-0.471.440.6212-51716.315.30.9415.214.60.58
Rasual Butler98980.68-0.180.850.3810-31315.617.4-1.8115.113.21.89
Chris Paul92920.54-0.040.580.3370715.616.9-1.3015.213.41.79
Speedy Claxton79800.410.090.310.2652315.815.80.0614.216.4-2.19
Aaron Williams47470.160.34-0.170.1125-315.116.3-1.2113.515.8-2.28
David West78800.060.44-0.380.0025-316.314.81.5215.613.02.56
J.R. Smith3030-0.050.55-0.61-0.03-18-916.015.80.2014.115.1-1.05
Brandon Bass2422-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-29-1115.615.9-0.2913.115.3-2.17
Marc Jackson5252-0.701.20-1.91-0.50-714-2116.715.01.7216.113.82.33

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joey Graham68650.24-0.740.970.008-152314.315.6-1.3416.814.62.18
Rafael Araujo39380.02-0.520.54-0.218-152313.015.8-2.8116.815.31.50
Andre Barrett3333-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-101312.615.8-3.2015.815.8-0.04
Eric Williams2427-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-4116.714.32.3216.415.60.82
Matt Bonner6361-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-7714.415.4-1.0715.616.1-0.56
Charlie Villanueva9599-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.23-1-6514.616.2-1.5815.518.1-2.59
Morris Peterson105106-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.361-8914.815.9-1.1116.013.52.49
Pape Sow3032-0.48-0.02-0.460.16-2215-3717.214.03.2613.616.7-3.05
Mike James9091-0.800.30-1.10-0.16-2215-3715.811.14.6615.616.6-0.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.68,0.82,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.9,0.73,0.46,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 104, VAN 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.15,0,086.3%
NOP 138, BKN 1280.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.24,0.19,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.02,0,083.8%
MIA 109, WAS 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.65,0.73,083.0%