inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 109 Excitement5.7 [696] MVPCaron Butler (WAS): +24.0%
Utah Jazz 97 Comeback1.1 [537] LVPMehmet Okur (UTA): -19.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.240,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.130.09-0.011964%0.251-0.01475%0.01
Gilbert Arenas0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.050.001966%0.275-0.13956%-0.01
Antonio Daniels0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.10.090.020.01871%0.1000.001100%0.00
Antawn Jamison0.090,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.040.062161%0.132-0.042100%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00050%-0.001-0.03250%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Donell Taylor-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02836%-0.031-0.01956%-0.02
Brendan Haywood-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00150%0.002-0.062100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.160.160.190.010.041677%0.232-0.07786%0.00
Keith McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.020.001258%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001460%0.085-0.09757%-0.05
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.00133%-0.0200.00450%-0.02
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.0000%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00730%-0.0600.00667%-0.02
Matt Harpring0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.040.011144%0.003-0.10580%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.001325%-0.152-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.730.130.024.00.833.2147.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +58.0%
UTA -0.7%
UTA -8.6%
UTA -0.3%
WAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASUTANBAWASUTANBA
this game14.615.715.6112.4104.3104.4
season15.117.0107.4101.7
opponent15.015.6104.6105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.013.313.618.014.6
UTA16.015.516.514.715.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries70660.56-0.060.620.0318-62413.916.5-2.6015.915.20.72
Antawn Jamison94900.54-0.040.580.1314-21614.616.0-1.4015.717.0-1.34
Gilbert Arenas92880.470.030.430.17102814.712.62.1515.616.6-0.95
Caron Butler92880.460.040.430.141111014.517.0-2.4915.617.6-2.01
Etan Thomas17150.250.250.010.0575213.414.9-1.5617.415.42.03
Antonio Daniels55550.220.28-0.070.1339-614.914.40.5015.416.1-0.73
Donell Taylor550.030.47-0.43-0.02210-812.614.7-2.1516.615.60.95
Brendan Haywood3433-0.000.50-0.50-0.03111-1014.314.8-0.5816.015.50.47
Michael Ruffin2625-0.030.53-0.570.14-618-2418.113.44.7014.916.0-1.07

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Humphries13130.09-0.590.67-0.065-172214.615.9-1.2612.914.9-1.98
Keith McLeod890.02-0.520.54-0.011-131418.215.52.7915.814.51.26
Milt Palacio1111-0.11-0.390.270.03-5-7215.915.70.2411.315.1-3.80
Carlos Boozer7881-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-121215.516.6-1.0714.913.51.36
Devin Brown4142-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-2-817.214.52.6813.015.9-2.97
Jarron Collins1720-0.31-0.19-0.130.07-131-1416.415.50.8712.115.3-3.14
Matt Harpring6367-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-7-5-215.116.9-1.7715.712.33.43
Andrei Kirilenko8588-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.17-8-4-415.616.5-0.8815.011.63.40
Deron Williams7477-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.17-8-4-415.416.9-1.5015.013.31.69
Mehmet Okur7577-0.520.02-0.53-0.08-153-1815.715.9-0.2415.013.31.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 93, CLE 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
ORL 114, IND 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
CLE 99, DET 780.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.14,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%