NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	7.3 [372]		MVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): +28.0%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	2.0 [857]		LVP	Johan Petro (SEA): -19.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Swift	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.04	-0.04	7	81%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Noel Felix	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.07	0.03	19	55%	0.06	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	10	27%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	9	33%	-0.08	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.10	-0.03	18	67%	0.34	3	-0.06	15	73%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.05	0.04	20	64%	0.22	2	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	12	31%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.08
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	10	27%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	31.4	16.3	27.1	1.0	27.4	128.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.0%

SEA -1.4%

SEA -2.5%

SAC +14.0%

SAC +12.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	12.9	16.1	15.6	96.0	106.1	104.4
season	15.0	15.3		108.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.3	13.7	13.2	13.5	12.9
SAC	16.3	15.1	15.1	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	27	28	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-12	15	11.0	13.6	-2.62	17.7	15.4	2.27
Mike Wilks	31	32	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.14	8	-17	25	12.2	13.2	-0.99	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Noel Felix	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-8	7	13.9	12.7	1.13	13.6	16.4	-2.80
Mikki Moore	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	13.0	12.9	0.11	17.0	15.8	1.16
Robert Swift	47	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-10	11	11.7	14.0	-2.32	17.1	15.0	2.09
Johan Petro	48	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	3	-15	13.0	12.8	0.25	15.5	16.6	-1.11
Chris Wilcox	84	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-5	1	13.5	9.8	3.69	15.5	18.6	-3.13
Ray Allen	86	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.19	-11	2	-13	13.6	8.9	4.63	16.2	15.1	1.14
Rashard Lewis	72	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	0	-9	12.7	13.6	-0.92	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Luke Ridnour	69	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	8	-25	13.2	12.2	0.99	16.1	15.9	0.21

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	86	87	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-5	19	16.4	13.6	2.80	13.2	11.2	2.02
Mike Bibby	83	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	2	5	15.2	20.3	-5.08	13.1	12.1	0.99
Kenny Thomas	71	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	15.9	16.4	-0.53	13.1	12.5	0.59
Brad Miller	82	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	3	3	16.0	16.4	-0.44	13.4	10.7	2.75
Bonzi Wells	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	2	5	14.2	17.7	-3.50	12.8	13.0	-0.23
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	16.4	15.7	0.68	11.7	13.9	-2.17
Kevin Martin	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	10	-11	17.0	15.0	1.96	13.4	12.4	1.07
Francisco Garcia	21	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	7	-5	18.4	15.4	3.02	10.4	13.5	-3.07
Jason Hart	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	11	-13	18.8	15.8	3.00	11.9	13.0	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	93.7%
VAN 90, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%
CHI 79, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.9,1,1	92.6%