NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	6.1 [608]		MVP	Mike James (TOR): +31.9%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.7 [378]		LVP	Jackie Butler (NYK): -8.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.22	0.09	-0.01	22	71%	0.39	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	21	58%	0.24	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.02
Joey Graham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	11	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.02
Loren Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pape Sow	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	10	68%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	15	54%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	52%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.04	7	63%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	5	-0.14	4	25%	-0.04
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.4	16.4	26.4	2.5	44.5	148.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +14.0%

TOR +4.6%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +25.1%

TOR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.6	118.8	117.2	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		107.3	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.4	12.8	18.2	17.4	15.3
NYK	16.0	16.1	17.8	11.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	15.7	13.4	2.32	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Chris Bosh	90	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	15.2	16.2	-0.94	15.2	15.3	-0.15
Charlie Villanueva	75	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	16.1	12.3	3.83	14.6	17.4	-2.87
Morris Peterson	87	85	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	5	-5	15.4	14.0	1.41	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Loren Woods	24	26	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-4	13	15.0	15.4	-0.32	16.2	14.8	1.39
Joey Graham	32	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	4	-3	14.0	15.9	-1.88	16.9	14.4	2.52
Pape Sow	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	4	-3	16.7	14.9	1.81	17.7	14.6	3.14
Andre Barrett	53	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	10	-15	14.9	15.8	-0.92	13.7	16.8	-3.08
Matt Bonner	23	21	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	7	-9	12.5	16.2	-3.69	16.2	14.9	1.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	11	11	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-10	15	19.2	14.7	4.52	9.7	16.0	-6.27
Jerome James	8	8	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-10	15	17.0	15.0	1.98	10.2	15.7	-5.49
Nate Robinson	40	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-12	19	13.4	16.6	-3.19	15.0	15.5	-0.59
Jamal Crawford	43	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.29	6	-11	17	13.7	16.4	-2.70	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Jalen Rose	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.7	1.47	15.9	15.0	0.83
David Lee	31	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	14.5	15.6	-1.11	16.5	14.6	1.99
Eddy Curry	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	3	-11	16.6	13.7	2.92	15.4	15.1	0.26
Qyntel Woods	64	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.2	-1.47	15.0	15.9	-0.83
Channing Frye	51	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.0	2.18	16.0	14.4	1.52
Jackie Butler	13	13	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	5	-15	17.2	14.9	2.37	16.2	15.1	1.10
Stephon Marbury	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	14.8	16.3	-1.48	15.8	14.0	1.73
Steve Francis	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	6	-17	14.9	15.7	-0.83	15.2	15.5	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
GSW 91, POR 82	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
POR 136, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%