NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	5.2 [756]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +5.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	82		Comeback	1.7 [82]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -14.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Booker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.00	4	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Owes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.11	5	-0.11	11	82%	0.03
Felton Spencer	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	8	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	70%	0.11	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Todd Fuller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0	67%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	20	49%	0.08	6	-0.12	5	80%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	16	55%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	13	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	39%	-0.05	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	24	42%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.0	26.6	15.8	30.2	2.4	30.2	127.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +58.8%

GSW +9.5%

GSW +5.7%

POR -27.9%

GSW +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.6	98.9	88.2	104.4
season	15.0	15.5		104.4	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.9	15.4	13.8	19.3	15.8
POR	13.4	15.9	17.5	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	83	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	1	7	16.0	13.0	3.05	15.3	16.2	-0.94
Donyell Marshall	42	40	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	2	5	14.5	16.8	-2.30	16.0	14.9	1.03
Felton Spencer	37	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	2	5	14.0	16.9	-2.93	16.6	14.6	1.97
Mark Price	64	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	7	-5	15.5	16.2	-0.72	14.5	17.5	-2.95
Ray Owes	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	3	3	16.9	15.0	1.92	15.5	15.3	0.23
Andrew DeClercq	53	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	2	5	14.8	17.1	-2.26	15.5	15.2	0.34
Todd Fuller	54	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	5	-1	17.1	13.8	3.30	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Chris Mullin	53	55	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	11	-13	16.9	14.2	2.73	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Scott Burrell	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	7	-5	14.4	15.9	-1.57	15.4	15.4	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-15	21	15.0	15.6	-0.62	17.0	14.9	2.17
Arvydas Sabonis	46	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	14.5	16.3	-1.80	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Mitchell Butler	6	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.2	15.3	0.83	21.6	15.4	6.19
Rumeal Robinson	13	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-4	-1	17.2	15.1	2.14	13.1	16.3	-3.13
Stacey Augmon	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	1	-11	17.2	14.8	2.37	15.9	15.7	0.22
Isaiah Rider	77	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-6	3	14.9	17.8	-2.93	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Clifford Robinson	77	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-7	5	15.3	15.7	-0.36	15.6	16.6	-1.06
Kenny Anderson	80	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-5	1	15.1	17.2	-2.14	16.3	13.1	3.13
Chris Dudley	32	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	5	-19	17.1	14.5	2.60	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Rasheed Wallace	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	15.4	15.4	-0.05	15.6	16.3	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
WAS 114, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
SEA 102, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%