inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement3.8 [1063] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +20.0%
Los Angeles Lakers 96 Comeback2.0 [300] LVPChris Mihm (LAL): -6.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.200,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.130.04-0.031187%0.253-0.052100%0.01
Michael Finley0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.150.000.061195%0.103-0.0100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0.070,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.00-0.02667%0.0700.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.02-0.04642%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.010.031653%0.0100.002100%0.01
Fabricio Oberto0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02736%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tony Parker-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.031854%0.032-0.04333%-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00450%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Brent Barry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01383%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.02881%0.093-0.0700%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.18-0.040.163261%0.032-0.046100%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01450%0.012-0.04250%-0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05617%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02450%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01743%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Smush Parker0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.011137%-0.051-0.012100%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00845%0.002-0.06475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.33.725.816.622.22.632.5126.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +37.2%
SAS +1.2%
LAL -1.4%
SAS +13.5%
LAL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game17.215.415.6115.7109.1104.4
season16.315.6106.0106.2
opponent15.515.6104.399.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.017.614.919.517.2
LAL16.517.614.513.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili65640.74-0.240.970.2118-112915.821.0-5.1915.315.4-0.07
Tim Duncan58580.73-0.230.96-0.0928-214916.618.2-1.5716.014.11.97
Nazr Mohammed60590.54-0.040.580.2510-31317.217.10.1015.315.5-0.23
Bruce Bowen66670.370.130.240.148-1917.615.91.6915.415.10.29
Tony Parker64630.360.140.220.2443116.219.6-3.4415.215.9-0.72
Nick Van Exel25250.140.36-0.220.0534-119.616.23.4415.915.20.72
Brent Barry25240.090.41-0.320.12-18-918.016.91.1014.715.6-0.90
Michael Finley4747-0.150.65-0.790.38-1825-4318.615.63.0214.216.7-2.52
Fabricio Oberto55-0.160.66-0.810.05-714-2119.217.02.1519.815.14.70
Rasho Nesterovic3028-0.160.66-0.830.13-1017-2717.017.3-0.2515.715.20.57

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Vujacic1717-0.13-0.370.240.10-81-918.214.73.5618.716.81.90
Luke Walton2121-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-3-116.914.92.0220.016.33.77
Devean George4344-0.19-0.310.13-0.273-101314.116.6-2.5318.815.63.17
Brian Cook4040-0.22-0.280.060.04-92-1115.914.90.9415.718.4-2.67
Kwame Brown4546-0.25-0.250.00-0.374-111515.215.5-0.2418.415.92.53
Chris Mihm4848-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-125-1716.214.31.8615.718.8-3.08
Smush Parker6768-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.28-3-4114.916.9-2.0216.320.0-3.77
Lamar Odom8385-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-2-5315.218.6-3.4317.119.2-2.18
Kobe Bryant7676-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.33-4-3-114.918.1-3.1516.918.5-1.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 112, WAS 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
DEN 118, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.4%
MEM 96, NYK 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,094.3%