inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 102 Excitement8.2 [229] MVPDonyell Marshall (CLE): +37.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 94 Comeback2.6 [322] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -43.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Daniels0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.280.070.21-0.00771%0.2800.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.130.040.08-0.012252%0.171-0.05425%-0.05
Etan Thomas0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01640%0.0200.00367%-0.01
Gilbert Arenas0.000,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0,00.04-0.010.022152%0.062-0.06875%-0.02
Jared Jeffries0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.01350%0.0000.00425%-0.05
Donell Taylor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.01333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.040.08-0.110.021575%0.135-0.182100%0.01
Michael Ruffin-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.00325%-0.051-0.0420%-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.370.370.170.210.00990%0.461-0.093100%0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.180.180.070.09-0.021661%0.273-0.09683%0.04
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.080.00286%0.151-0.03367%-0.02
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00350%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.01737%-0.031-0.0420%-0.02
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.090.00367%0.022-0.1400%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.08-0.01450%0.024-0.1600%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.43,-0.44-0.44-0.11-0.33-0.012141%-0.314-0.131942%-0.38
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.328.116.628.42.436.5140.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +15.9%
CLE -11.9%
WAS +4.5%
WAS +39.7%
WAS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game14.816.315.6109.7102.2104.4
season15.116.2107.4105.6
opponent15.515.6103.9105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.516.714.014.314.8
CLE18.915.316.714.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison83830.61-0.110.730.2911-31415.013.81.1616.613.63.05
Jared Jeffries38360.52-0.020.53-0.0419-113013.315.9-2.5319.414.35.02
Brendan Haywood54540.480.020.460.229-11015.513.91.5317.814.23.66
Caron Butler78780.420.080.340.1980815.213.12.1116.813.63.14
Gilbert Arenas91910.310.190.110.0780814.815.5-0.6816.321.0-4.75
Antonio Daniels64630.170.33-0.160.41-816-2415.114.30.8214.220.9-6.76
Michael Ruffin26250.040.46-0.410.0117-613.115.5-2.4515.416.7-1.30
Etan Thomas1313-0.020.52-0.550.03-210-1215.714.70.9911.817.0-5.19
Donell Taylor1817-0.030.53-0.560.15-614-2015.114.80.3414.416.7-2.39

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao22210.08-0.580.650.051-91012.917.4-4.4614.514.9-0.41
Ronald Murray47480.01-0.510.52-0.4014-223615.017.7-2.6715.514.11.41
Damon Jones5151-0.01-0.480.47-0.289-172613.519.8-6.3614.715.0-0.29
Donyell Marshall6466-0.14-0.360.22-0.4912-203215.019.3-4.2914.815.0-0.23
Sasha Pavlovic87-0.16-0.340.190.14-102-1223.715.68.1511.615.1-3.53
Stephen Graham2425-0.21-0.290.090.12-113-1419.215.33.9915.414.60.77
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6062-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.24-7-1-617.514.13.3915.313.91.45
Drew Gooden3736-0.46-0.04-0.420.13-2012-3219.114.44.6914.215.3-1.10
LeBron James9192-0.530.03-0.55-0.29-80-816.222.0-5.7614.913.01.86
Eric Snow5657-0.630.13-0.76-0.04-2012-3217.514.52.9614.615.2-0.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.61,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 90, VAN 880.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.35,0.33,0.17,0.32,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.16,0.1,090.5%
DAL 90, BOS 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.23,0.15,0.1,090.3%
DAL 112, SEA 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.37,0.15,0.04,090.1%