NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	112		Excitement	8.1 [233]		MVP	Juwan Howard (DAL): +21.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	106		Comeback	1.8 [586]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -21.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.21	0.11	0.11	0.00	11	78%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	15	62%	0.20	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.13	-0.05	0.06	15	80%	0.12	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	15	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.01	18	66%	0.34	4	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.06	0.03	13	71%	0.12	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	12	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.01	20	41%	-0.10	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	43.7	2.5	26.4	26.4	22.5	2.4	33.5	157.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +23.3%

DAL +8.4%

DAL +4.8%

DAL +9.2%

DAL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.6	15.6	116.7	109.3	102.3
season	14.8	16.0		109.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.5	14.0	15.0	15.8	14.3
SEA	15.7	13.7	16.3	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	39	37	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-6	18	14.5	14.1	0.36	16.1	15.2	0.83
Juwan Howard	61	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-12	30	14.3	14.2	0.11	16.5	13.8	2.77
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-4	14	14.4	14.0	0.36	16.2	13.5	2.69
Steve Nash	69	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	14.0	14.9	-0.91	16.0	14.4	1.61
Michael Finley	85	85	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	7	-8	14.6	11.8	2.77	15.2	17.8	-2.59
Tim Hardaway	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	4	-2	13.7	14.6	-0.83	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Johnny Newman	21	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	3	0	12.6	14.7	-2.11	16.3	15.4	0.98
Wang Zhi-zhi	26	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	15.9	13.7	2.21	14.4	16.0	-1.52
Greg Buckner	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	12	-18	13.5	14.4	-0.85	12.1	16.1	-4.03
Shawn Bradley	14	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	11	-16	14.5	14.2	0.27	12.7	16.1	-3.35
Adrian Griffin	44	47	-0.18	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	10	-14	14.1	14.4	-0.37	15.7	15.5	0.22

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	5	5	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-8	10	18.0	15.4	2.57	24.4	13.7	10.69
Earl Watson	35	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-3	0	14.5	16.1	-1.60	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Vladimir Radmanovic	30	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	14.3	16.1	-1.83	13.4	14.7	-1.31
Jerome James	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	4	-14	18.8	15.2	3.54	11.7	14.5	-2.75
Rashard Lewis	82	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-12	18	14.9	19.4	-4.53	14.4	13.7	0.65
Brent Barry	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	15.8	14.6	1.19	14.1	15.2	-1.17
Desmond Mason	82	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	15.9	14.0	1.85	14.3	13.9	0.48
Gary Payton	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	16.1	13.4	2.73	14.5	13.3	1.15
Vin Baker	84	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	0	-6	15.7	14.9	0.74	14.3	14.4	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.37,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 79, DEN 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.37,0.09,0.1,0	90.8%
NOP 99, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.06,0,0	90.7%
NOH 97, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.6,0.58,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.16,0.16,0	90.7%