NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	77		Excitement	5.8 [661]		MVP	David Harrison (IND): +19.1%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	1.6 [946]		LVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): -13.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	13	68%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	26	43%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	8	44%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	7	33%	0.00	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	6	76%	0.19	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	18	57%	0.15	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04	0.05	17	57%	0.09	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Scot Pollard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	4	40%	-0.02	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	6	23%	-0.02	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	32.0	15.7	23.5	2.7	36.0	136.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.4%

IND +2.3%

IND +10.7%

MIL -3.7%

IND +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.6	83.7	93.6	104.4
season	15.5	16.0		104.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.1	16.1	18.2	15.4	16.2
IND	14.3	14.6	15.2	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	72	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-13	15	16.2	16.0	0.14	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Joe Smith	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-11	11	16.8	15.8	0.95	15.3	14.6	0.75
Dan Gadzuric	19	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-5	-1	16.9	16.0	0.99	13.9	15.1	-1.10
Charlie Bell	48	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	15.2	17.2	-2.08	15.3	14.2	1.10
Michael Redd	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	16.2	16.0	0.20	14.4	16.8	-2.38
Jamaal Magloire	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-9	7	16.1	16.5	-0.43	15.2	13.6	1.55
Andrew Bogut	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	1	-13	16.6	15.6	0.95	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Jiri Welsch	21	21	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	5	-21	15.7	16.3	-0.64	14.8	14.8	-0.01
T.J. Ford	69	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	0	-11	16.2	16.0	0.22	14.9	14.5	0.38

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	61	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	2	7	14.8	14.8	0.00	16.6	15.3	1.34
David Harrison	39	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	3	5	14.4	15.1	-0.70	16.1	16.2	-0.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius	51	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	3	5	15.3	14.3	1.04	15.2	17.3	-2.08
Fred Jones	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-3	17	14.8	14.9	-0.11	16.5	15.8	0.63
Stephen Jackson	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	7	-3	14.4	15.8	-1.46	15.8	16.9	-1.08
Danny Granger	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	6	-1	15.3	14.5	0.74	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Peja Stojakovic	63	61	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	14.8	14.9	-0.13	16.3	16.0	0.29
Anthony Johnson	62	58	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	9	-7	15.2	14.1	1.05	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Scot Pollard	45	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	9	-7	14.9	14.8	0.09	17.2	15.3	1.85
Eddie Gill	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	11	-11	0.0	15.0	-14.98	0.0	16.2	-16.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.56,0.71,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 106, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
LAL 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	93.7%
MEM 96, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%